Mechelen vs Dender result and stats
Win probability: home 62%, draw 21%, away 17%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersMechelen and Dender drew 1–1 in the Belgian Pro League on Saturday 27 December 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Mechelen 62%, the draw 21% and Dender 17%, so a draw had a 21% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
MEDE
14Shots17
6On target9
5Corners6
13Fouls11
2Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Mechelen
L @ Sint-Truiden0–1 · 21 Dec
W @ Cercle Brugge3–2 · 13 Dec
W v Charleroi1–0 · 7 Dec
L v Standard0–1 · 28 Nov
W @ Genk1–0 · 23 Nov
Dender
L v Standard0–1 · 20 Dec
L v Club Brugge1–5 · 14 Dec
W @ RAAL La Louviere2–1 · 5 Dec
D v Westerlo2–2 · 29 Nov
W @ Antwerp2–1 · 23 Nov
Head to head
In 5 league meetings since 2024, Mechelen won 4, Dender won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 19 Oct 2025, finished Dender 1–3 Mechelen, a win for Mechelen.
Dender 1–3 Mechelen19 Oct 2025
Dender 2–2 Mechelen24 May 2025
Mechelen 5–2 Dender4 Apr 2025
Mechelen 2–1 Dender16 Mar 2025
Dender 2–5 Mechelen26 Oct 2024