France · 2026–27
Ligue 1 predictions
2.97goals per game
44%home wins
52%favourites won
last season
last season
GossipBall has predictions for 18 Ligue 1 matches between Friday 30 October 2026 and Sunday 8 November 2026. GossipBall's most confident prediction is Paris Saint-Germain to beat Troyes (86%). The closest call is Rennes vs Lille (38% home, 36% away), and the game most likely to have three or more goals is Paris Saint-Germain vs Troyes (74%).
This 2026–27 season Ligue 1 matches have averaged 2.97 goals; home teams have won 44%, 26% have been drawn and 61% have had three or more goals.
Paris Saint-Germain lead the table with 17 points from 8 games. The season simulation makes Paris Saint-Germain favourites for the title at 90%.
Ligue 1 fixtures and predictions
How to read theseFriday 30 October – Ligue 1 predictions
3 matchesLe Havre
Paris Saint-Germain
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 13%, draw 19%, away 68%
Likeliest score 0–2
Nice vs Rennes prediction (Ligue 1):
Nice
Rennes
Win probability: home 36%, draw 25%, away 39%
Likeliest score 1–1
Lille vs Lens prediction (Ligue 1):
Lille
Lens
Win probability: home 39%, draw 28%, away 33%
Likeliest score 1–1
Saturday 31 October – Ligue 1 predictions
1 matchTroyes
Le Mans
Win probability: home 31%, draw 24%, away 45%
Likeliest score 1–1
Sunday 1 November – Ligue 1 predictions
4 matchesStrasbourg
Auxerre
Win probability: home 51%, draw 24%, away 24%
Likeliest score 1–1
Lyon vs Angers prediction (Ligue 1):
Lyon
Angers
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 65%, draw 22%, away 13%
Likeliest score 2–0
Paris FC vs Monaco prediction (Ligue 1):
Paris FC
Monaco
Win probability: home 41%, draw 25%, away 34%
Likeliest score 1–1
Marseille vs Toulouse prediction (Ligue 1):
Marseille
Toulouse
Win probability: home 51%, draw 23%, away 25%
Likeliest score 1–1
Monday 2 November – Ligue 1 predictions
1 matchLorient
Brest
Win probability: home 42%, draw 26%, away 32%
Likeliest score 1–1
Friday 6 November – Ligue 1 predictions
1 matchToulouse
Strasbourg
Win probability: home 43%, draw 26%, away 32%
Likeliest score 1–1
Saturday 7 November – Ligue 1 predictions
2 matchesAuxerre
Paris FC
Win probability: home 32%, draw 27%, away 40%
Likeliest score 1–1
Paris Saint-Germain vs Troyes prediction (Ligue 1):
Paris Saint-Germain
Troyes
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 86%, draw 10%, away 4%
Likeliest score 3–0
Sunday 8 November – Ligue 1 predictions
6 matchesRennes
Lille
Win probability: home 38%, draw 26%, away 36%
Likeliest score 1–1
Le Mans vs Monaco prediction (Ligue 1):
Le Mans
Monaco
Win probability: home 30%, draw 22%, away 48%
Likeliest score 1–1
Brest vs Lyon prediction (Ligue 1):
Brest
Lyon
Win probability: home 34%, draw 25%, away 41%
Likeliest score 1–1
Le Havre vs Lorient prediction (Ligue 1):
Le Havre
Lorient
Win probability: home 34%, draw 29%, away 37%
Likeliest score 1–1
Angers vs Nice prediction (Ligue 1):
Angers
Nice
Win probability: home 30%, draw 29%, away 41%
Likeliest score 1–1
Lens vs Marseille prediction (Ligue 1):
Lens
Marseille
Win probability: home 50%, draw 23%, away 27%
Likeliest score 1–1
Goals and clean sheets this round
Explained| Match | 3+ goals | Both score | Home clean sheet | Away clean sheet | Exp. goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain | 59% | 51% | 11% | 43% | 0.8–2.2 |
| Nice vs Rennes | 60% | 63% | 20% | 22% | 1.5–1.6 |
| Lille vs Lens | 44% | 50% | 31% | 28% | 1.3–1.2 |
| Troyes vs Le Mans | 62% | 63% | 17% | 24% | 1.4–1.8 |
| Strasbourg vs Auxerre | 55% | 57% | 32% | 17% | 1.8–1.1 |
| Lyon vs Angers | 51% | 46% | 47% | 14% | 2.0–0.8 |
| Paris FC vs Monaco | 58% | 61% | 24% | 21% | 1.6–1.4 |
| Marseille vs Toulouse | 62% | 62% | 28% | 15% | 1.9–1.3 |
| Lorient vs Brest | 53% | 57% | 27% | 22% | 1.5–1.3 |
| Toulouse vs Strasbourg | 55% | 59% | 27% | 21% | 1.6–1.3 |
| Auxerre vs Paris FC | 48% | 53% | 25% | 30% | 1.2–1.4 |
| Paris Saint-Germain vs Troyes | 74% | 45% | 53% | 4% | 3.2–0.6 |
| Rennes vs Lille | 55% | 59% | 24% | 23% | 1.5–1.4 |
| Le Mans vs Monaco | 70% | 70% | 13% | 20% | 1.6–2.0 |
| Brest vs Lyon | 58% | 61% | 20% | 24% | 1.4–1.6 |
| Le Havre vs Lorient | 44% | 50% | 29% | 30% | 1.2–1.3 |
| Angers vs Nice | 41% | 47% | 28% | 35% | 1.1–1.3 |
| Lens vs Marseille | 63% | 63% | 26% | 15% | 1.9–1.3 |