Ligue 1Matchday 9Friday 30 October 2026 · 18:00

Nice vs Rennes prediction

Nice

36%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

11.3% chance

25%

draw

Rennes

39%

away win

Win probability: home 36%, draw 25%, away 39%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Nice against Rennes as too close to call in the Ligue 1 on Friday 30 October 2026 at 18:00 UTC. It gives Nice a 36% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Rennes 39%.

GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Nice and 1.6 from Rennes, so goals look likely: there is a 60% chance of three or more goals and a 63% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (11%). Nice keep a clean sheet in 20% of outcomes, Rennes in 22%.

Nice are 10th in the table with 11 points from 8 games; Rennes are 2nd with 16. In their last five league games Nice took 9 points (LWWLW) and Rennes took 9 (WLWLW). This season Nice average 1.09 expected goals (xG) for and 1.70 against per game; Rennes average 2.02 for and 2.19 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 5, Rennes won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 8 Mar 2026, finished Nice 0–4 Rennes, a win for Rennes.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Nice goalsColumns: Rennes goals

1–111.3%

1–28.6%

2–18.2%

0–16.6%

2–26.5%

1–06.3%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

95%

2 or more goals

82%

3 or more goals

60%

4 or more goals

38%

5 or more goals

20%

Both teams score

63%

GOSSIPBALL expects 3.1 goals in total: 1.52 for Nice and 1.59 for Rennes.

Winning margin

Explained

Nice by 3

Nice by 2

11%

Nice by 1

19%

Draw

25%

Rennes by 3

Rennes by 2

12%

Rennes by 1

19%

Each team's goals

Explained

Nice expected goals1.52

Rennes expected goals1.59

Nice keep a clean sheet20%

Rennes keep a clean sheet22%

Nice win without conceding15%

Rennes win without conceding17%

Nice score 2 or more45%

Rennes score 2 or more47%

Recent form

Nice

W @ Brest2–1 · 23 Oct

L @ Lyon1–2 · 18 Oct

W v Strasbourg2–1 · 11 Oct

W v Lille2–1 · 20 Sep

L @ Auxerre0–1 · 12 Sep

Rennes

W v Strasbourg3–0 · 25 Oct

L @ Paris FC3–4 · 18 Oct

W v Auxerre4–1 · 11 Oct

L @ Lyon0–4 · 19 Sep

W v Marseille1–0 · 11 Sep

Head to head

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 5, Rennes won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 8 Mar 2026, finished Nice 0–4 Rennes, a win for Rennes.

Nice 0–4 Rennes8 Mar 2026

Rennes 1–2 Nice26 Oct 2025

Rennes 2–0 Nice10 May 2025

Nice 3–2 Rennes3 Jan 2025

Rennes 2–0 Nice13 Jan 2024

Nice 2–0 Rennes5 Nov 2023

Season averages per game

NIRE

1.00

Goals

2.25

1.25

Conceded

1.75

1.09

2.02

1.70

xG against

2.19

11.4

Shots

16.1

3.5

On target

6.1

5.9

Corners

5.4

2.25

Yellow cards

2.25

12%

Clean sheets

25%

62%

Both score

62%

3+ goals

88%

Questions and answers

Who will win Nice vs Rennes?

GossipBall gives Nice a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rennes 39%. GossipBall sees Nice against Rennes as too close to call.

What is the most likely score in Nice vs Rennes?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 11% chance. The next most likely are 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 0–1 (7%).

Will both teams score in Nice vs Rennes?

GossipBall gives a 63% chance that both Nice and Rennes score.

Will there be three or more goals in Nice vs Rennes?

There is a 60% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total (1.5 for Nice, 1.6 for Rennes).

When is Nice vs Rennes?

Kick-off is Friday 30 October 2026 at 18:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Nice and Rennes?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 5, Rennes won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 8 Mar 2026, finished Nice 0–4 Rennes, a win for Rennes.