England · 2026–27
Championship predictions
2.89goals per game
40%home wins
43%favourites won
last season
last season
GossipBall has predictions for 36 Championship matches between Friday 30 October 2026 and Saturday 7 November 2026. GossipBall's most confident prediction is West Ham to beat West Brom (67%). The closest call is Bolton vs Bristol City (38% home, 36% away), and the game most likely to have three or more goals is Cardiff vs West Ham (73%).
This 2026–27 season Championship matches have averaged 2.89 goals; home teams have won 40%, 28% have been drawn and 60% have had three or more goals.
Middlesbrough lead the table with 25 points from 12 games. The season simulation makes West Ham favourites for the title at 62%.
Championship fixtures and predictions
How to read theseFriday 30 October – Championship predictions
1 matchSheffield United
Wrexham
Win probability: home 46%, draw 25%, away 29%
Likeliest score 1–1
Saturday 31 October – Championship predictions
11 matchesStoke
Preston
Win probability: home 43%, draw 29%, away 29%
Likeliest score 1–1
Norwich vs Watford prediction (Championship):
Norwich
Watford
Win probability: home 55%, draw 24%, away 22%
Likeliest score 1–1
Lincoln vs Birmingham prediction (Championship):
Lincoln
Birmingham
Win probability: home 38%, draw 27%, away 35%
Likeliest score 1–1
Wolves vs Cardiff prediction (Championship):
Wolves
Cardiff
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 67%, draw 19%, away 14%
Likeliest score 2–0
West Ham vs West Brom prediction (Championship):
West Ham
West Brom
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 67%, draw 19%, away 14%
Likeliest score 2–0
Swansea vs Blackburn prediction (Championship):
Swansea
Blackburn
Win probability: home 47%, draw 28%, away 25%
Likeliest score 1–1
Bolton vs Bristol City prediction (Championship):
Bolton
Bristol City
Win probability: home 38%, draw 26%, away 36%
Likeliest score 1–1
Middlesbrough vs Charlton prediction (Championship):
Middlesbrough
Charlton
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 63%, draw 23%, away 14%
Likeliest score 1–0
Burnley vs Portsmouth prediction (Championship):
Burnley
Portsmouth
Win probability: home 59%, draw 24%, away 17%
Likeliest score 1–0
Millwall vs Derby prediction (Championship):
Millwall
Derby
Win probability: home 49%, draw 27%, away 24%
Likeliest score 1–1
Southampton vs QPR prediction (Championship):
Southampton
QPR
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 62%, draw 20%, away 18%
Likeliest score 2–1
Tuesday 3 November – Championship predictions
9 matchesQPR
Burnley
Win probability: home 28%, draw 27%, away 45%
Likeliest score 1–1
Derby vs Norwich prediction (Championship):
Derby
Norwich
Win probability: home 38%, draw 26%, away 35%
Likeliest score 1–1
Blackburn vs Stoke prediction (Championship):
Blackburn
Stoke
Win probability: home 41%, draw 30%, away 28%
Likeliest score 1–1
Watford vs Lincoln prediction (Championship):
Watford
Lincoln
Win probability: home 38%, draw 27%, away 35%
Likeliest score 1–1
Charlton vs Bolton prediction (Championship):
Charlton
Bolton
Win probability: home 39%, draw 27%, away 34%
Likeliest score 1–1
Portsmouth vs Swansea prediction (Championship):
Portsmouth
Swansea
Win probability: home 38%, draw 28%, away 34%
Likeliest score 1–1
Preston vs Sheffield United prediction (Championship):
Preston
Sheffield United
Win probability: home 32%, draw 27%, away 41%
Likeliest score 1–1
West Brom vs Southampton prediction (Championship):
West Brom
Southampton
Win probability: home 31%, draw 26%, away 43%
Likeliest score 1–1
Birmingham vs Millwall prediction (Championship):
Birmingham
Millwall
Win probability: home 39%, draw 29%, away 32%
Likeliest score 1–1
Wednesday 4 November – Championship predictions
3 matchesCardiff
West Ham
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 18%, draw 19%, away 63%
Likeliest score 1–2
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough prediction (Championship):
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
Win probability: home 34%, draw 25%, away 41%
Likeliest score 1–1
Bristol City vs Wolves prediction (Championship):
Bristol City
Wolves
Win probability: home 28%, draw 27%, away 45%
Likeliest score 1–1
Friday 6 November – Championship predictions
1 matchDerby
Bolton
Win probability: home 48%, draw 24%, away 27%
Likeliest score 1–1
Saturday 7 November – Championship predictions
11 matchesWrexham
Wolves
Win probability: home 30%, draw 26%, away 44%
Likeliest score 1–1
Portsmouth vs Stoke prediction (Championship):
Portsmouth
Stoke
Win probability: home 44%, draw 29%, away 28%
Likeliest score 1–1
Bristol City vs Norwich prediction (Championship):
Bristol City
Norwich
Win probability: home 40%, draw 27%, away 33%
Likeliest score 1–1
QPR vs Lincoln prediction (Championship):
QPR
Lincoln
Win probability: home 44%, draw 26%, away 30%
Likeliest score 1–1
Cardiff vs Burnley prediction (Championship):
Cardiff
Burnley
Win probability: home 25%, draw 25%, away 50%
Likeliest score 1–1
Charlton vs Sheffield United prediction (Championship):
Charlton
Sheffield United
Win probability: home 29%, draw 29%, away 42%
Likeliest score 1–1
Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction (Championship):
Watford
Middlesbrough
Win probability: home 25%, draw 25%, away 50%
Likeliest score 1–1
Blackburn vs West Ham prediction (Championship):
Blackburn
West Ham
Win probability: home 19%, draw 22%, away 58%
Likeliest score 1–1
West Brom vs Millwall prediction (Championship):
West Brom
Millwall
Win probability: home 37%, draw 30%, away 33%
Likeliest score 1–1
Preston vs Southampton prediction (Championship):
Preston
Southampton
Win probability: home 24%, draw 24%, away 52%
Likeliest score 1–1
Birmingham vs Swansea prediction (Championship):
Birmingham
Swansea
Win probability: home 43%, draw 28%, away 29%
Likeliest score 1–1
Goals and clean sheets this round
Explained| Match | 3+ goals | Both score | Home clean sheet | Away clean sheet | Exp. goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United vs Wrexham | 54% | 57% | 29% | 20% | 1.6–1.2 |
| Stoke vs Preston | 42% | 48% | 35% | 27% | 1.3–1.0 |
| Norwich vs Watford | 54% | 55% | 35% | 17% | 1.8–1.0 |
| Lincoln vs Birmingham | 48% | 53% | 28% | 26% | 1.3–1.3 |
| Wolves vs Cardiff | 61% | 54% | 39% | 11% | 2.2–0.9 |
| West Ham vs West Brom | 64% | 57% | 37% | 10% | 2.3–1.0 |
| Swansea vs Blackburn | 41% | 46% | 39% | 25% | 1.4–0.9 |
| Bolton vs Bristol City | 54% | 58% | 24% | 24% | 1.4–1.4 |
| Middlesbrough vs Charlton | 49% | 45% | 47% | 16% | 1.9–0.8 |
| Burnley vs Portsmouth | 47% | 46% | 44% | 18% | 1.7–0.8 |
| Millwall vs Derby | 44% | 48% | 39% | 23% | 1.5–1.0 |
| Southampton vs QPR | 64% | 59% | 34% | 11% | 2.2–1.1 |
| QPR vs Burnley | 47% | 52% | 23% | 33% | 1.1–1.5 |
| Derby vs Norwich | 53% | 57% | 26% | 24% | 1.4–1.4 |
| Blackburn vs Stoke | 36% | 43% | 39% | 30% | 1.2–0.9 |
| Watford vs Lincoln | 48% | 54% | 28% | 26% | 1.3–1.3 |
| Charlton vs Bolton | 48% | 53% | 29% | 26% | 1.4–1.2 |
| Portsmouth vs Swansea | 45% | 51% | 30% | 28% | 1.3–1.2 |
| Preston vs Sheffield United | 48% | 53% | 25% | 30% | 1.2–1.4 |
| West Brom vs Southampton | 51% | 56% | 22% | 29% | 1.2–1.5 |
| Birmingham vs Millwall | 42% | 48% | 33% | 29% | 1.2–1.1 |
| Cardiff vs West Ham | 73% | 67% | 8% | 27% | 1.3–2.5 |
| Wrexham vs Middlesbrough | 57% | 60% | 21% | 25% | 1.4–1.6 |
| Bristol City vs Wolves | 46% | 51% | 24% | 34% | 1.1–1.4 |
| Derby vs Bolton | 58% | 59% | 28% | 17% | 1.7–1.3 |
| Wrexham vs Wolves | 54% | 57% | 21% | 28% | 1.3–1.6 |
| Portsmouth vs Stoke | 42% | 47% | 36% | 26% | 1.3–1.0 |
| Bristol City vs Norwich | 50% | 55% | 28% | 24% | 1.4–1.3 |
| QPR vs Lincoln | 53% | 57% | 29% | 21% | 1.6–1.2 |
| Cardiff vs Burnley | 51% | 54% | 20% | 34% | 1.1–1.6 |
| Charlton vs Sheffield United | 40% | 47% | 28% | 36% | 1.0–1.3 |
| Watford vs Middlesbrough | 52% | 54% | 19% | 34% | 1.1–1.6 |
| Blackburn vs West Ham | 59% | 57% | 14% | 34% | 1.1–2.0 |
| West Brom vs Millwall | 38% | 45% | 34% | 32% | 1.1–1.1 |
| Preston vs Southampton | 58% | 58% | 16% | 31% | 1.2–1.8 |
| Birmingham vs Swansea | 45% | 50% | 34% | 25% | 1.4–1.1 |