ChampionshipMatchday 14Wednesday 4 November 2026 · 19:45

Cardiff vs West Ham prediction

Cardiff

18%

home win

likeliest score

1–2

9.1% chance

19%

draw

West Ham

63%

away win

Win probability: home 18%, draw 19%, away 63%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes West Ham clear favourites to beat Cardiff away from home in the Championship on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Cardiff a 18% chance of winning, puts the draw at 19% and gives West Ham 63%.

GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Cardiff and 2.5 from West Ham, so goals look likely: there is a 73% chance of three or more goals and a 67% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–2 (9%). Cardiff keep a clean sheet in 8% of outcomes, West Ham in 27%.

Cardiff are 16th in the table with 14 points from 12 games; West Ham are 4th with 22. In their last five league games Cardiff took 10 points (WLWDW) and West Ham took 8 (DDWWL). This season Cardiff average 1.93 expected goals (xG) for and 1.67 against per game; West Ham average 2.12 for and 1.20 against.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Cardiff goalsColumns: West Ham goals

1–29.1%

1–17.6%

1–37.6%

0–27.0%

2–25.9%

0–35.8%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

97%

2 or more goals

89%

3 or more goals

73%

4 or more goals

52%

5 or more goals

33%

Both teams score

67%

GOSSIPBALL expects 3.8 goals in total: 1.30 for Cardiff and 2.49 for West Ham.

Winning margin

Explained

Cardiff by 3

Cardiff by 2

Cardiff by 1

11%

Draw

19%

West Ham by 3

12%

West Ham by 2

18%

West Ham by 1

21%

Each team's goals

Explained

Cardiff expected goals1.30

West Ham expected goals2.49

Cardiff keep a clean sheet8%

West Ham keep a clean sheet27%

Cardiff win without conceding6%

West Ham win without conceding25%

Cardiff score 2 or more37%

West Ham score 2 or more71%

Recent form

Cardiff

W v Birmingham1–0 · 24 Oct

D @ Middlesbrough2–2 · 17 Oct

W v Watford5–1 · 13 Oct

L @ Blackburn1–2 · 10 Oct

W v Charlton3–1 · 19 Sep

West Ham

L v Southampton2–3 · 24 Oct

W @ Swansea1–0 · 17 Oct

W @ Lincoln6–0 · 14 Oct

D v QPR1–1 · 9 Oct

D @ Millwall2–2 · 19 Sep

Head to head

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

CAWH

1.58

Goals

2.67

1.42

Conceded

1.25

1.93

2.12

1.67

xG against

1.20

17.1

Shots

17.2

5.9

On target

6.6

6.8

Corners

6.8

1.75

Yellow cards

2.00

Clean sheets

33%

75%

Both score

67%

58%

3+ goals

75%

Questions and answers

Who will win Cardiff vs West Ham?

GossipBall gives Cardiff a 18% chance of winning, the draw 19% and West Ham 63%. GossipBall makes West Ham clear favourites to beat Cardiff away from home.

What is the most likely score in Cardiff vs West Ham?

The likeliest single score is 1–2, with a 9% chance. The next most likely are 1–1 (8%), 1–3 (8%), 0–2 (7%).

Will both teams score in Cardiff vs West Ham?

GossipBall gives a 67% chance that both Cardiff and West Ham score.

Will there be three or more goals in Cardiff vs West Ham?

There is a 73% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.8 goals in total (1.3 for Cardiff, 2.5 for West Ham).

When is Cardiff vs West Ham?

Kick-off is Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.