Skip to content

Cardiff

16th · 14 pts from 12 · WLWDW

Cardiff are 16th in the Championship with 14 points from 12 games (3 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats), having scored 19 and conceded 17.

They average 1.93 expected goals for and 1.67 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 19th of 24 teams in the league on its ratings.

Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Cardiff to finish with about 52 points, with a 0% chance of winning the league, 0% of a top-four finish and 27% of finishing in the bottom three.

Next up: away at Wolves on Saturday 31 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Cardiff a 14% chance of winning.

19 / 24GOSSIPBALL rating rank

1.93xG per game

1.67xG against per game

8%clean sheets

51.9expected final points

0%chance to win the league

Next matches

Wolves vs Cardiff prediction (Championship):

Clear favourite

Win probability: home 67%, draw 19%, away 14%

Likeliest score 2–0

Cardiff vs West Ham prediction (Championship):

Clear favourite

Win probability: home 18%, draw 19%, away 63%

Likeliest score 1–2

Cardiff vs Burnley prediction (Championship):

Win probability: home 25%, draw 25%, away 50%

Likeliest score 1–1

Results this season

Cardiff 1–0 Birmingham result and stats:

Win probability: home 33%, draw 26%, away 40%

3.0–1.0match xG

Middlesbrough 2–2 Cardiff result and stats:

Win probability: home 63%, draw 20%, away 16%

2.8–0.8match xG

Cardiff 5–1 Watford result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 41%, draw 27%, away 32%

3.7–1.5match xG

Blackburn 2–1 Cardiff result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 46%, draw 28%, away 26%

2.4–1.1match xG

Cardiff 3–1 Charlton result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 40%, draw 30%, away 30%

2.6–1.3match xG

Bolton 1–0 Cardiff result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 45%, draw 25%, away 31%

0.5–1.8match xG

Cardiff 1–1 Stoke result and stats:

Win probability: home 38%, draw 29%, away 33%

3.6–1.1match xG

Portsmouth 2–0 Cardiff result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 48%, draw 26%, away 26%

2.1–1.4match xG

QPR 2–1 Cardiff result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 49%, draw 25%, away 26%

2.8–0.6match xG

Cardiff 2–2 Sheffield United result and stats:

Sheffield United2

Win probability: home 27%, draw 27%, away 46%

1.8–1.5match xG

Derby 2–2 Cardiff result and stats:

Win probability: home 56%, draw 24%, away 19%

1.6–2.0match xG

Cardiff 1–1 Wrexham result and stats:

Win probability: home 31%, draw 25%, away 44%

0.9–1.6match xG

Season stats per game

Goals scored1.58

Goals conceded1.42

Expected goals (xG)1.93

xG against1.67

Shots17.1

Shots on target5.9

Shots on target against5.5

Conversion (goals per shot on target)27%

Corners6.8

Fouls10.1

Yellow cards1.75

Red cards0.08

Clean sheets8%

Both teams scored75%

3 or more goals58%

Failed to score17%

GOSSIPBALL rating

Attack (vs league average)+0.02

Defence (positive = concedes less)-0.18

Overall-0.17

What these numbers mean