ChampionshipSaturday 12 September 2026 · 11:30

Bolton vs Cardiff result and stats

Bolton

45%

pre-match home win

1–0

full time

25%

draw

Cardiff

31%

pre-match away win

Win probability: home 45%, draw 25%, away 31%

Match report

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Bolton beat Cardiff 1–0 at home in the Championship on Saturday 12 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Bolton 45%, the draw 25% and Cardiff 31%, so a home win had a 45% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.

On expected goals it finished Bolton 0.49, Cardiff 1.78, so Cardiff created the better chances. Bolton had 7 shots (5 on target) to Cardiff's 17 (10 on target).

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Match stats

BOCA

0.49

Expected goals

1.78

Shots

On target

Corners

Fouls

Yellow cards

Red cards

Half-time goals

Referee: T Parsons

Recent form

Bolton

L v West Ham2–3 · 8 Sep

L @ Millwall0–4 · 5 Sep

L @ Sheffield United2–3 · 1 Sep

L v Lincoln0–1 · 29 Aug

D @ QPR0–0 · 22 Aug

Cardiff

D v Stoke1–1 · 8 Sep

L @ Portsmouth0–2 · 5 Sep

L @ QPR1–2 · 2 Sep

D v Sheffield United2–2 · 29 Aug

D @ Derby2–2 · 22 Aug

Head to head

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

BOCA

1.33

Goals

1.58

1.92

Conceded

1.42

1.36

1.93

1.91

xG against

1.67

13.7

Shots

17.1

4.7

On target

5.9

5.1

Corners

6.8

1.67

Yellow cards

1.75

25%

Clean sheets

58%

Both score

75%

67%

3+ goals

58%