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Bolton

18th · 14 pts from 12 · WLWDL

Bolton are 18th in the Championship with 14 points from 12 games (4 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats), having scored 16 and conceded 23.

They average 1.36 expected goals for and 1.91 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 21st of 24 teams in the league on its ratings.

Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Bolton to finish with about 54 points, with a 0% chance of winning the league, 0% of a top-four finish and 22% of finishing in the bottom three.

Next up: home to Bristol City on Saturday 31 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Bolton a 38% chance of winning.

21 / 24GOSSIPBALL rating rank

1.36xG per game

1.91xG against per game

25%clean sheets

53.6expected final points

0%chance to win the league

Next matches

Bolton vs Bristol City prediction (Championship):

Win probability: home 38%, draw 26%, away 36%

Likeliest score 1–1

Charlton vs Bolton prediction (Championship):

Win probability: home 39%, draw 27%, away 34%

Likeliest score 1–1

Derby vs Bolton prediction (Championship):

Win probability: home 48%, draw 24%, away 27%

Likeliest score 1–1

Results this season

Bolton 1–5 Middlesbrough result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 32%, draw 25%, away 43%

0.9–4.2match xG

Southampton 0–0 Bolton result and stats:

Win probability: home 63%, draw 19%, away 17%

2.2–1.5match xG

Wolves 1–3 Bolton result and stats:

Win probability: home 75%, draw 15%, away 10%

2.2–1.6match xG

Bolton 1–2 Stoke result and stats:

Win probability: home 40%, draw 27%, away 32%

3.1–0.7match xG

Norwich 3–4 Bolton result and stats:

Win probability: home 63%, draw 20%, away 16%

0.7–1.1match xG

Bolton 1–0 Cardiff result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 45%, draw 25%, away 31%

0.5–1.8match xG

Bolton 2–3 West Ham result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 26%, draw 23%, away 51%

1.6–2.2match xG

Millwall 4–0 Bolton result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 54%, draw 26%, away 19%

2.6–1.1match xG

Sheffield United 3–2 Bolton result and stats:

Sheffield United3

Called correctly

Win probability: home 54%, draw 28%, away 18%

2.2–1.9match xG

Bolton 0–1 Lincoln result and stats:

Win probability: home 43%, draw 28%, away 29%

1.6–1.1match xG

QPR 0–0 Bolton result and stats:

Win probability: home 39%, draw 27%, away 34%

1.8–0.2match xG

Bolton 2–1 Preston result and stats:

Called correctly

Win probability: home 47%, draw 27%, away 26%

1.1–1.1match xG

Season stats per game

Goals scored1.33

Goals conceded1.92

Expected goals (xG)1.36

xG against1.91

Shots13.7

Shots on target4.7

Shots on target against5.6

Conversion (goals per shot on target)28%

Corners5.1

Fouls10.7

Yellow cards1.67

Red cards0.08

Clean sheets25%

Both teams scored58%

3 or more goals67%

Failed to score33%

GOSSIPBALL rating

Attack (vs league average)+0.06

Defence (positive = concedes less)-0.24

Overall-0.18

What these numbers mean