Millwall vs Bolton result and stats
Win probability: home 54%, draw 26%, away 19%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMillwall beat Bolton 4–0 at home in the Championship on Saturday 5 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Millwall 54%, the draw 26% and Bolton 19%, so a home win had a 54% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Millwall 2.63, Bolton 1.15, so Millwall created the better chances. Millwall had 12 shots (5 on target) to Bolton's 13 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
MIBO
2.63Expected goals1.15
12Shots13
5On target4
3Corners9
13Fouls14
0Yellow cards1
1Red cards1
1Half-time goals0
Referee: W Finnie
Recent form
Millwall
L v Wrexham0–3 · 2 Sep
L @ Southampton1–5 · 29 Aug
W v Norwich3–0 · 22 Aug
W @ Bristol City2–0 · 15 Aug
W v Oxford2–0 · 2 May
Bolton
L @ Sheffield United2–3 · 1 Sep
L v Lincoln0–1 · 29 Aug
D @ QPR0–0 · 22 Aug
W v Preston2–1 · 15 Aug
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
MIBO
1.58Goals1.33
1.67Conceded1.92
1.77xG1.36
1.33xG against1.91
13.9Shots13.7
3.9On target4.7
5.8Corners5.1
2.00Yellow cards1.67
33%Clean sheets25%
50%Both score58%
75%3+ goals67%