England · 2026–27
Premier League predictions
2.77goals per game
39%home wins
48%favourites won
last season
last season
GossipBall has predictions for 20 Premier League matches between Saturday 31 October 2026 and Sunday 8 November 2026. GossipBall's most confident prediction is Arsenal to beat Hull (69%). The closest call is Fulham vs Newcastle United (37% home, 36% away), and the game most likely to have three or more goals is Ipswich vs Bournemouth (63%).
This 2026–27 season Premier League matches have averaged 2.77 goals; home teams have won 39%, 29% have been drawn and 50% have had three or more goals.
Manchester City lead the table with 21 points from 8 games. The season simulation makes Arsenal favourites for the title at 57%.
Premier League fixtures and predictions
How to read theseSaturday 31 October – Premier League predictions
8 matchesChelsea
Manchester United
Win probability: home 43%, draw 26%, away 31%
Likeliest score 1–1
Manchester City vs Brighton prediction (Premier League):
Manchester City
Brighton
Win probability: home 60%, draw 22%, away 18%
Likeliest score 1–1
Bournemouth vs Leeds prediction (Premier League):
Bournemouth
Leeds
Win probability: home 47%, draw 27%, away 27%
Likeliest score 1–1
Coventry vs Sunderland prediction (Premier League):
Coventry
Sunderland
Win probability: home 32%, draw 32%, away 36%
Likeliest score 1–1
Hull vs Ipswich prediction (Premier League):
Hull
Ipswich
Win probability: home 55%, draw 25%, away 20%
Likeliest score 1–1
Brentford vs Nottingham Forest prediction (Premier League):
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 29%
Likeliest score 1–1
Tottenham vs Crystal Palace prediction (Premier League):
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 29%
Likeliest score 1–1
Aston Villa vs Fulham prediction (Premier League):
Aston Villa
Fulham
Win probability: home 47%, draw 27%, away 26%
Likeliest score 1–1
Sunday 1 November – Premier League predictions
1 matchLiverpool
Arsenal
Win probability: home 27%, draw 28%, away 45%
Likeliest score 1–1
Monday 2 November – Premier League predictions
1 matchNewcastle United
Everton
Win probability: home 47%, draw 27%, away 25%
Likeliest score 1–1
Friday 6 November – Premier League predictions
1 matchEverton
Coventry
Win probability: home 47%, draw 30%, away 22%
Likeliest score 1–0
Saturday 7 November – Premier League predictions
4 matchesLeeds
Tottenham
Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 29%
Likeliest score 1–1
Arsenal vs Hull prediction (Premier League):
Arsenal
Hull
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 69%, draw 22%, away 10%
Likeliest score 2–0
Fulham vs Newcastle United prediction (Premier League):
Fulham
Newcastle United
Win probability: home 37%, draw 27%, away 36%
Likeliest score 1–1
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City prediction (Premier League):
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Win probability: home 22%, draw 26%, away 53%
Likeliest score 1–1
Sunday 8 November – Premier League predictions
5 matchesCrystal Palace
Liverpool
Win probability: home 25%, draw 25%, away 50%
Likeliest score 1–1
Sunderland vs Chelsea prediction (Premier League):
Sunderland
Chelsea
Win probability: home 32%, draw 28%, away 40%
Likeliest score 1–1
Ipswich vs Bournemouth prediction (Premier League):
Ipswich
Bournemouth
Win probability: home 21%, draw 23%, away 56%
Likeliest score 1–1
Brighton vs Brentford prediction (Premier League):
Brighton
Brentford
Win probability: home 46%, draw 25%, away 29%
Likeliest score 1–1
Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction (Premier League):
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Win probability: home 42%, draw 26%, away 31%
Likeliest score 1–1
Goals and clean sheets this round
Explained| Match | 3+ goals | Both score | Home clean sheet | Away clean sheet | Exp. goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea vs Manchester United | 59% | 62% | 25% | 19% | 1.7–1.4 |
| Manchester City vs Brighton | 62% | 59% | 34% | 12% | 2.1–1.1 |
| Bournemouth vs Leeds | 52% | 56% | 32% | 20% | 1.6–1.2 |
| Coventry vs Sunderland | 37% | 45% | 32% | 35% | 1.1–1.1 |
| Hull vs Ipswich | 53% | 54% | 36% | 17% | 1.8–1.0 |
| Brentford vs Nottingham Forest | 53% | 57% | 29% | 21% | 1.6–1.2 |
| Tottenham vs Crystal Palace | 53% | 57% | 29% | 21% | 1.6–1.2 |
| Aston Villa vs Fulham | 51% | 54% | 33% | 21% | 1.6–1.1 |
| Liverpool vs Arsenal | 49% | 53% | 22% | 33% | 1.1–1.5 |
| Newcastle United vs Everton | 50% | 54% | 34% | 21% | 1.6–1.1 |
| Everton vs Coventry | 37% | 43% | 44% | 26% | 1.3–0.8 |
| Leeds vs Tottenham | 52% | 57% | 29% | 21% | 1.5–1.2 |
| Arsenal vs Hull | 46% | 38% | 56% | 15% | 1.9–0.6 |
| Fulham vs Newcastle United | 54% | 58% | 24% | 24% | 1.4–1.4 |
| Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City | 53% | 55% | 17% | 35% | 1.1–1.7 |
| Crystal Palace vs Liverpool | 56% | 58% | 17% | 31% | 1.2–1.7 |
| Sunderland vs Chelsea | 49% | 54% | 25% | 29% | 1.2–1.4 |
| Ipswich vs Bournemouth | 63% | 62% | 13% | 30% | 1.2–2.0 |
| Brighton vs Brentford | 60% | 62% | 26% | 17% | 1.8–1.3 |
| Manchester United vs Aston Villa | 56% | 60% | 26% | 20% | 1.6–1.3 |