England · 2026–27
Premier League results
2.77goals per game
39%home wins
48%favourites won
last season
last season
80 Premier League matches have been played this season. GossipBall's favourite result, predicted before each game using only earlier results, came in 42 times (52%).
Each match shows GossipBall's prediction from before kick-off, made using only earlier results.
Friday 21 August – Premier League results
1 match21 Aug
Arsenal3
Coventry0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 71%, draw 20%, away 10%
1.9–0.2match xG
Saturday 22 August – Premier League results
5 matches22 Aug
Hull2
Manchester United0
Upset
Win probability: home 33%, draw 27%, away 40%
1.0–1.8match xG
Everton 2–0 Crystal Palace result and stats:
22 Aug
Everton2
Crystal Palace0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 40%, draw 31%, away 29%
1.1–2.0match xG
Ipswich 2–1 Sunderland result and stats:
22 Aug
Ipswich2
Sunderland1
Upset
Win probability: home 21%, draw 27%, away 52%
1.8–0.7match xG
Nottingham Forest 0–1 Leeds result and stats:
22 Aug
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds1
Upset
Win probability: home 45%, draw 27%, away 28%
0.7–0.5match xG
Brentford 3–0 Tottenham result and stats:
22 Aug
Brentford3
Tottenham0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 49%, draw 24%, away 26%
3.9–0.6match xG
Sunday 23 August – Premier League results
3 matches23 Aug
Brighton4
Aston Villa0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 40%, draw 27%, away 33%
3.8–0.3match xG
Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth result and stats:
23 Aug
Manchester City2
Bournemouth1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 65%, draw 21%, away 14%
2.4–0.6match xG
Newcastle United 2–2 Liverpool result and stats:
23 Aug
Newcastle United2
Liverpool2
Upset
Win probability: home 36%, draw 25%, away 39%
1.6–3.0match xG
Monday 24 August – Premier League results
1 match24 Aug
Fulham2
Chelsea3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 36%, draw 28%, away 37%
1.4–1.7match xG
Friday 28 August – Premier League results
1 match28 Aug
Crystal Palace1
Manchester City4
Called correctly
Win probability: home 18%, draw 25%, away 57%
0.7–2.2match xG
Saturday 29 August – Premier League results
4 matches29 Aug
Liverpool2
Nottingham Forest2
Upset
Win probability: home 57%, draw 23%, away 20%
1.8–2.3match xG
Bournemouth 1–1 Everton result and stats:
29 Aug
Bournemouth1
Everton1
Upset
Win probability: home 45%, draw 29%, away 26%
2.1–1.8match xG
Coventry 0–1 Hull result and stats:
29 Aug
Coventry0
Hull1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 24%, draw 30%, away 46%
1.3–0.7match xG
Tottenham 0–2 Newcastle United result and stats:
29 Aug
Tottenham0
Newcastle United2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 34%, draw 25%, away 41%
1.0–0.8match xG
Sunday 30 August – Premier League results
4 matches30 Aug
Chelsea4
Brighton3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 43%, draw 26%, away 30%
2.9–1.4match xG
Leeds 1–1 Brentford result and stats:
30 Aug
Leeds1
Brentford1
Upset
Win probability: home 36%, draw 27%, away 37%
1.4–1.6match xG
Sunderland 1–0 Fulham result and stats:
30 Aug
Sunderland1
Fulham0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 37%, draw 31%, away 32%
2.0–0.9match xG
Manchester United 5–2 Ipswich result and stats:
30 Aug
Manchester United5
Ipswich2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 73%, draw 17%, away 10%
4.6–2.0match xG
Monday 31 August – Premier League results
1 match31 Aug
Aston Villa0
Arsenal1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 20%, draw 26%, away 53%
0.3–1.1match xG
Friday 4 September – Premier League results
1 match4 Sep
Ipswich0
Liverpool2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 12%, draw 17%, away 71%
0.8–0.7match xG
Saturday 5 September – Premier League results
7 matches5 Sep
Newcastle United2
Bournemouth2
Upset
Win probability: home 47%, draw 25%, away 27%
0.7–1.4match xG
Brentford 1–1 Sunderland result and stats:
5 Sep
Brentford1
Sunderland1
Upset
Win probability: home 48%, draw 28%, away 24%
1.2–1.7match xG
Brighton 1–1 Leeds result and stats:
5 Sep
Brighton1
Leeds1
Upset
Win probability: home 50%, draw 26%, away 24%
2.2–2.5match xG
Fulham 2–3 Crystal Palace result and stats:
5 Sep
Fulham2
Crystal Palace3
Upset
Win probability: home 43%, draw 29%, away 28%
3.1–2.0match xG
Manchester City 1–0 Coventry result and stats:
5 Sep
Manchester City1
Coventry0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 76%, draw 17%, away 7%
2.1–1.4match xG
Nottingham Forest 0–0 Tottenham result and stats:
5 Sep
Nottingham Forest0
Tottenham0
Upset
Win probability: home 47%, draw 26%, away 27%
0.9–1.1match xG
Hull 0–0 Aston Villa result and stats:
5 Sep
Hull0
Aston Villa0
Upset
Win probability: home 37%, draw 30%, away 33%
0.6–1.9match xG
Sunday 6 September – Premier League results
2 matches6 Sep
Everton2
Manchester United2
Upset
Win probability: home 34%, draw 29%, away 38%
1.0–0.7match xG
Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea result and stats:
6 Sep
Arsenal2
Chelsea1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 64%, draw 23%, away 14%
2.0–0.4match xG
Saturday 12 September – Premier League results
7 matches12 Sep
Aston Villa1
Nottingham Forest2
Upset
Win probability: home 45%, draw 27%, away 27%
0.8–2.3match xG
Bournemouth 2–2 Brentford result and stats:
12 Sep
Bournemouth2
Brentford2
Upset
Win probability: home 41%, draw 26%, away 32%
1.8–0.5match xG
Chelsea 2–2 Hull result and stats:
12 Sep
Chelsea2
Hull2
Upset
Win probability: home 50%, draw 29%, away 21%
0.9–1.4match xG
Crystal Palace 2–3 Ipswich result and stats:
12 Sep
Crystal Palace2
Ipswich3
Upset
Win probability: home 62%, draw 22%, away 16%
0.6–1.7match xG
Liverpool 0–0 Fulham result and stats:
12 Sep
Liverpool0
Fulham0
Upset
Win probability: home 58%, draw 23%, away 19%
1.3–0.7match xG
Tottenham 0–0 Everton result and stats:
12 Sep
Tottenham0
Everton0
Upset
Win probability: home 40%, draw 29%, away 32%
0.7–1.1match xG
Sunderland 0–2 Arsenal result and stats:
12 Sep
Sunderland0
Arsenal2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 16%, draw 28%, away 56%
1.8–1.9match xG
Sunday 13 September – Premier League results
2 matches13 Sep
Coventry0
Brighton5
Called correctly
Win probability: home 28%, draw 30%, away 42%
1.3–2.8match xG
Manchester United 0–1 Manchester City result and stats:
13 Sep
Manchester United0
Manchester City1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 25%, draw 25%, away 50%
1.0–1.1match xG
Monday 14 September – Premier League results
1 match14 Sep
Leeds4
Newcastle United1
Upset
Win probability: home 35%, draw 27%, away 39%
1.9–0.8match xG
Friday 18 September – Premier League results
1 match18 Sep
Brentford3
Chelsea0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 41%, draw 26%, away 33%
2.6–0.8match xG
Saturday 19 September – Premier League results
5 matches19 Sep
Tottenham2
Aston Villa3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 35%, draw 26%, away 38%
1.6–1.2match xG
Brighton 3–0 Arsenal result and stats:
19 Sep
Brighton3
Arsenal0
Upset
Win probability: home 21%, draw 26%, away 53%
1.3–1.6match xG
Everton 1–0 Ipswich result and stats:
19 Sep
Everton1
Ipswich0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 59%, draw 24%, away 17%
2.2–1.4match xG
Newcastle United 2–1 Hull result and stats:
19 Sep
Newcastle United2
Hull1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 47%, draw 29%, away 24%
1.4–1.6match xG
Nottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry result and stats:
19 Sep
Nottingham Forest0
Coventry1
Upset
Win probability: home 61%, draw 24%, away 15%
1.1–0.7match xG
Sunday 20 September – Premier League results
4 matches20 Sep
Bournemouth0
Liverpool1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 33%, draw 25%, away 42%
0.8–1.6match xG
Leeds 0–0 Crystal Palace result and stats:
20 Sep
Leeds0
Crystal Palace0
Upset
Win probability: home 45%, draw 28%, away 27%
1.3–1.1match xG
Manchester City 5–3 Sunderland result and stats:
20 Sep
Manchester City5
Sunderland3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 66%, draw 22%, away 12%
2.8–3.6match xG
Fulham 1–1 Manchester United result and stats:
20 Sep
Fulham1
Manchester United1
Upset
Win probability: home 34%, draw 27%, away 38%
1.6–1.6match xG
Saturday 10 October – Premier League results
6 matches10 Oct
Arsenal2
Leeds1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 67%, draw 22%, away 11%
2.3–0.6match xG
Aston Villa 2–2 Brentford result and stats:
10 Oct
Aston Villa2
Brentford2
Upset
Win probability: home 42%, draw 26%, away 32%
2.3–1.1match xG
Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth result and stats:
10 Oct
Chelsea5
Bournemouth1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 45%, draw 26%, away 30%
1.1–1.4match xG
Ipswich 2–1 Fulham result and stats:
10 Oct
Ipswich2
Fulham1
Upset
Win probability: home 25%, draw 25%, away 50%
1.1–1.8match xG
Sunderland 0–2 Brighton result and stats:
10 Oct
Sunderland0
Brighton2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 35%, draw 28%, away 38%
0.7–1.4match xG
Manchester United 1–1 Tottenham result and stats:
10 Oct
Manchester United1
Tottenham1
Upset
Win probability: home 54%, draw 24%, away 22%
0.8–1.6match xG
Sunday 11 October – Premier League results
3 matches11 Oct
Crystal Palace3
Nottingham Forest1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 36%, draw 29%, away 35%
2.4–3.3match xG
Hull 2–2 Everton result and stats:
11 Oct
Hull2
Everton2
Upset
Win probability: home 39%, draw 33%, away 28%
1.3–1.7match xG
Liverpool 0–3 Manchester City result and stats:
11 Oct
Liverpool0
Manchester City3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 32%, draw 26%, away 42%
0.9–1.3match xG
Monday 12 October – Premier League results
1 match12 Oct
Coventry4
Newcastle United1
Upset
Win probability: home 22%, draw 27%, away 51%
1.4–1.8match xG
Saturday 17 October – Premier League results
5 matches17 Oct
Everton0
Chelsea2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 35%, draw 29%, away 37%
0.4–1.5match xG
Brentford 1–2 Liverpool result and stats:
17 Oct
Brentford1
Liverpool2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 34%, draw 25%, away 40%
0.9–1.6match xG
Fulham 1–0 Hull result and stats:
17 Oct
Fulham1
Hull0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 40%, draw 30%, away 31%
1.4–0.2match xG
Manchester City 3–2 Ipswich result and stats:
17 Oct
Manchester City3
Ipswich2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 85%, draw 11%, away 5%
3.5–1.7match xG
Newcastle United 0–1 Aston Villa result and stats:
17 Oct
Newcastle United0
Aston Villa1
Upset
Win probability: home 43%, draw 25%, away 31%
1.0–1.6match xG
Sunday 18 October – Premier League results
4 matches18 Oct
Bournemouth2
Sunderland0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 45%, draw 28%, away 27%
4.2–0.1match xG
Brighton 5–0 Crystal Palace result and stats:
18 Oct
Brighton5
Crystal Palace0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 53%, draw 25%, away 22%
2.0–0.8match xG
Leeds 1–1 Manchester United result and stats:
18 Oct
Leeds1
Manchester United1
Upset
Win probability: home 35%, draw 27%, away 37%
1.4–0.9match xG
Nottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal result and stats:
18 Oct
Nottingham Forest0
Arsenal1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 18%, draw 27%, away 55%
0.9–1.1match xG
Monday 19 October – Premier League results
1 match19 Oct
Tottenham3
Coventry1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 47%, draw 26%, away 26%
0.9–0.8match xG
Friday 23 October – Premier League results
1 match23 Oct
Ipswich1
Nottingham Forest1
Upset
Win probability: home 24%, draw 25%, away 51%
0.5–2.3match xG
Saturday 24 October – Premier League results
4 matches24 Oct
Aston Villa2
Manchester City1
Upset
Win probability: home 24%, draw 25%, away 51%
0.6–1.6match xG
Arsenal 2–0 Everton result and stats:
24 Oct
Arsenal2
Everton0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 66%, draw 23%, away 11%
2.0–0.6match xG
Coventry 0–1 Fulham result and stats:
24 Oct
Coventry0
Fulham1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 32%, draw 29%, away 38%
0.5–0.6match xG
Chelsea 0–2 Tottenham result and stats:
24 Oct
Chelsea0
Tottenham2
Upset
Win probability: home 53%, draw 24%, away 23%
0.5–0.7match xG
Sunday 25 October – Premier League results
5 matches25 Oct
Crystal Palace0
Newcastle United2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 34%, draw 27%, away 40%
1.6–0.9match xG
Hull 1–1 Brentford result and stats:
25 Oct
Hull1
Brentford1
Upset
Win probability: home 32%, draw 29%, away 39%
1.6–1.7match xG
Liverpool 2–0 Brighton result and stats:
25 Oct
Liverpool2
Brighton0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 50%, draw 24%, away 26%
1.2–1.3match xG
Manchester United 0–3 Bournemouth result and stats:
25 Oct
Manchester United0
Bournemouth3
Upset
Win probability: home 45%, draw 26%, away 29%
1.2–2.1match xG
Sunderland 0–0 Leeds result and stats:
25 Oct
Sunderland0
Leeds0
Upset
Win probability: home 37%, draw 29%, away 34%
0.8–0.8match xG