Coventry vs Newcastle United result and stats
Win probability: home 22%, draw 27%, away 51%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersCoventry beat Newcastle United 4–1 at home in the Premier League on Monday 12 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Coventry 22%, the draw 27% and Newcastle United 51%, so a home win had a 22% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Coventry 1.43, Newcastle United 1.84, so Newcastle United created the better chances. Coventry had 9 shots (6 on target) to Newcastle United's 19 (6 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
CONU
1.43Expected goals1.84
9Shots19
6On target6
2Corners6
3Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Referee: J Brooks
Recent form
Coventry
W @ Nottingham Forest1–0 · 19 Sep
L v Brighton0–5 · 13 Sep
L @ Manchester City0–1 · 5 Sep
L v Hull0–1 · 29 Aug
L @ Arsenal0–3 · 21 Aug
Newcastle United
W v Hull2–1 · 19 Sep
L @ Leeds1–4 · 14 Sep
D v Bournemouth2–2 · 5 Sep
W @ Tottenham2–0 · 29 Aug
D v Liverpool2–2 · 23 Aug
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
CONU
0.75Goals1.50
1.88Conceded1.75
0.95xG1.14
1.49xG against1.69
10.6Shots12.0
3.1On target3.4
3.8Corners4.5
1.00Yellow cards2.75
12%Clean sheets25%
25%Both score62%
50%3+ goals62%