Portugal · 2026–27
Primeira Liga predictions
2.74goals per game
37%home wins
55%favourites won
last season
last season
GossipBall has predictions for 18 Primeira Liga matches between Friday 30 October 2026 and Sunday 8 November 2026. GossipBall's most confident prediction is Sporting CP to beat Moreirense (83%). The closest call is Gil Vicente vs Vitória SC (40% home, 32% away), and the game most likely to have three or more goals is Sporting CP vs Moreirense (68%).
This 2026–27 season Primeira Liga matches have averaged 2.74 goals; home teams have won 37%, 22% have been drawn and 56% have had three or more goals.
Porto lead the table with 27 points from 9 games. The season simulation makes Porto favourites for the title at 47%.
Primeira Liga fixtures and predictions
How to read theseFriday 30 October – Primeira Liga predictions
1 matchCasa Pia
Sporting CP
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 8%, draw 14%, away 77%
Likeliest score 0–2
Saturday 31 October – Primeira Liga predictions
2 matchesMoreirense
Estrela
Win probability: home 46%, draw 26%, away 28%
Likeliest score 1–0
Porto vs Estoril prediction (Primeira Liga):
Porto
Estoril
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 77%, draw 14%, away 8%
Likeliest score 2–0
Sunday 1 November – Primeira Liga predictions
4 matchesArouca
Nacional
Win probability: home 50%, draw 24%, away 26%
Likeliest score 1–1
Maritimo vs Santa Clara prediction (Primeira Liga):
Maritimo
Santa Clara
Win probability: home 28%, draw 29%, away 43%
Likeliest score 0–1
Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave prediction (Primeira Liga):
Academico Viseu
Rio Ave
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 61%, draw 21%, away 18%
Likeliest score 1–0
Sp Braga vs Famalicão prediction (Primeira Liga):
Sp Braga
Famalicão
Win probability: home 52%, draw 25%, away 23%
Likeliest score 1–0
Monday 2 November – Primeira Liga predictions
2 matchesBenfica
Alverca
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 81%, draw 12%, away 7%
Likeliest score 2–0
Gil Vicente vs Vitória SC prediction (Primeira Liga):
Gil Vicente
Vitória SC
Win probability: home 40%, draw 28%, away 32%
Likeliest score 1–0
Friday 6 November – Primeira Liga predictions
1 matchFamalicão
Arouca
Win probability: home 49%, draw 25%, away 26%
Likeliest score 1–0
Saturday 7 November – Primeira Liga predictions
3 matchesNacional
Academico Viseu
Win probability: home 31%, draw 26%, away 44%
Likeliest score 1–1
Alverca vs Casa Pia prediction (Primeira Liga):
Alverca
Casa Pia
Win probability: home 49%, draw 25%, away 25%
Likeliest score 1–0
Sporting CP vs Moreirense prediction (Primeira Liga):
Sporting CP
Moreirense
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 83%, draw 11%, away 6%
Likeliest score 2–0
Sunday 8 November – Primeira Liga predictions
5 matchesEstoril
Maritimo
Win probability: home 54%, draw 22%, away 23%
Likeliest score 1–1
Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente prediction (Primeira Liga):
Santa Clara
Gil Vicente
Win probability: home 39%, draw 31%, away 30%
Likeliest score 1–0
Vitória SC vs Porto prediction (Primeira Liga):
Vitória SC
Porto
Win probability: home 18%, draw 24%, away 58%
Likeliest score 0–1
Rio Ave vs Sp Braga prediction (Primeira Liga):
Rio Ave
Sp Braga
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 18%, draw 21%, away 61%
Likeliest score 0–1
Estrela vs Benfica prediction (Primeira Liga):
Estrela
Benfica
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 9%, draw 15%, away 76%
Likeliest score 0–2
Goals and clean sheets this round
Explained| Match | 3+ goals | Both score | Home clean sheet | Away clean sheet | Exp. goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia vs Sporting CP | 63% | 46% | 8% | 50% | 0.7–2.5 |
| Moreirense vs Estrela | 44% | 48% | 35% | 24% | 1.4–1.0 |
| Porto vs Estoril | 62% | 46% | 50% | 8% | 2.5–0.7 |
| Arouca vs Nacional | 50% | 53% | 34% | 20% | 1.6–1.1 |
| Maritimo vs Santa Clara | 34% | 40% | 31% | 41% | 0.9–1.2 |
| Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave | 54% | 51% | 40% | 15% | 1.9–0.9 |
| Sp Braga vs Famalicão | 44% | 46% | 41% | 22% | 1.5–0.9 |
| Benfica vs Alverca | 67% | 46% | 51% | 6% | 2.8–0.7 |
| Gil Vicente vs Vitória SC | 40% | 45% | 35% | 29% | 1.2–1.0 |
| Famalicão vs Arouca | 46% | 49% | 37% | 22% | 1.5–1.0 |
| Nacional vs Academico Viseu | 48% | 52% | 24% | 32% | 1.2–1.4 |
| Alverca vs Casa Pia | 45% | 48% | 38% | 23% | 1.5–1.0 |
| Sporting CP vs Moreirense | 68% | 45% | 52% | 6% | 2.9–0.7 |
| Estoril vs Maritimo | 56% | 56% | 33% | 16% | 1.8–1.1 |
| Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente | 30% | 37% | 42% | 35% | 1.0–0.9 |
| Vitória SC vs Porto | 43% | 43% | 20% | 46% | 0.8–1.6 |
| Rio Ave vs Sp Braga | 53% | 51% | 15% | 40% | 0.9–1.9 |
| Estrela vs Benfica | 62% | 47% | 8% | 48% | 0.7–2.5 |