Portugal · 2026–27
Primeira Liga results
2.74goals per game
37%home wins
55%favourites won
last season
last season
81 Primeira Liga matches have been played this season. GossipBall's favourite result, predicted before each game using only earlier results, came in 43 times (53%).
Each match shows GossipBall's prediction from before kick-off, made using only earlier results.
Friday 7 August – Primeira Liga results
1 match7 Aug
Estoril1
Famalicão1
Upset
Win probability: home 36%, draw 25%, away 38%
1.2–1.5match xG
Saturday 8 August – Primeira Liga results
3 matches8 Aug
Maritimo1
Casa Pia0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 39%, draw 27%, away 34%
1.3–0.7match xG
Vitória SC 0–1 Arouca result and stats:
8 Aug
Vitória SC0
Arouca1
Upset
Win probability: home 49%, draw 23%, away 27%
2.2–0.5match xG
Estrela 2–2 Sporting CP result and stats:
8 Aug
Estrela2
Sporting CP2
Upset
Win probability: home 8%, draw 13%, away 79%
1.0–2.6match xG
Sunday 9 August – Primeira Liga results
4 matches9 Aug
Porto2
Alverca0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 78%, draw 15%, away 7%
2.6–1.7match xG
Benfica 2–2 Academico Viseu result and stats:
9 Aug
Benfica2
Academico Viseu2
Upset
Win probability: home 79%, draw 13%, away 7%
3.1–1.2match xG
Gil Vicente 1–0 Rio Ave result and stats:
9 Aug
Gil Vicente1
Rio Ave0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 53%, draw 25%, away 22%
1.5–0.3match xG
Moreirense 2–2 Sp Braga result and stats:
9 Aug
Moreirense2
Sp Braga2
Upset
Win probability: home 23%, draw 23%, away 54%
0.2–1.5match xG
Monday 10 August – Primeira Liga results
1 match10 Aug
Santa Clara2
Nacional2
Upset
Win probability: home 43%, draw 30%, away 27%
1.4–1.2match xG
Friday 14 August – Primeira Liga results
1 match14 Aug
Sporting CP3
Vitória SC2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 80%, draw 13%, away 7%
1.1–1.1match xG
Saturday 15 August – Primeira Liga results
3 matches15 Aug
Alverca2
Estrela2
Upset
Win probability: home 46%, draw 26%, away 27%
1.8–1.3match xG
Academico Viseu 0–1 Santa Clara result and stats:
15 Aug
Academico Viseu0
Santa Clara1
Upset
Win probability: home 59%, draw 22%, away 19%
0.7–1.3match xG
Rio Ave 0–2 Porto result and stats:
15 Aug
Rio Ave0
Porto2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 13%, draw 20%, away 67%
0.6–2.0match xG
Sunday 16 August – Primeira Liga results
3 matches16 Aug
Nacional2
Estoril0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 40%, draw 24%, away 36%
2.1–0.8match xG
Arouca 4–0 Moreirense result and stats:
16 Aug
Arouca4
Moreirense0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 46%, draw 24%, away 29%
2.1–0.5match xG
Famalicão 1–2 Maritimo result and stats:
16 Aug
Famalicão1
Maritimo2
Upset
Win probability: home 59%, draw 24%, away 16%
0.6–1.6match xG
Monday 17 August – Primeira Liga results
1 match17 Aug
Casa Pia0
Benfica7
Called correctly
Win probability: home 10%, draw 17%, away 73%
0.1–3.0match xG
Saturday 22 August – Primeira Liga results
3 matches22 Aug
Maritimo2
Academico Viseu2
Upset
Win probability: home 44%, draw 25%, away 31%
1.3–1.8match xG
Estoril 0–2 Rio Ave result and stats:
22 Aug
Estoril0
Rio Ave2
Upset
Win probability: home 55%, draw 22%, away 23%
1.2–0.7match xG
Sporting CP 3–1 Alverca result and stats:
22 Aug
Sporting CP3
Alverca1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 86%, draw 9%, away 5%
2.1–0.4match xG
Sunday 23 August – Primeira Liga results
3 matches23 Aug
Vitória SC1
Nacional0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 48%, draw 26%, away 26%
3.1–0.4match xG
Santa Clara 1–0 Famalicão result and stats:
23 Aug
Santa Clara1
Famalicão0
Upset
Win probability: home 33%, draw 32%, away 36%
1.4–1.1match xG
Porto 2–0 Arouca result and stats:
23 Aug
Porto2
Arouca0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 76%, draw 15%, away 9%
3.0–0.5match xG
Monday 24 August – Primeira Liga results
1 match24 Aug
Gil Vicente2
Casa Pia0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 54%, draw 25%, away 21%
1.7–0.8match xG
Friday 28 August – Primeira Liga results
1 match28 Aug
Rio Ave0
Sporting CP4
Called correctly
Win probability: home 9%, draw 14%, away 77%
0.5–1.7match xG
Saturday 29 August – Primeira Liga results
3 matches29 Aug
Alverca1
Santa Clara1
Upset
Win probability: home 36%, draw 30%, away 35%
0.4–1.4match xG
Arouca 2–1 Maritimo result and stats:
29 Aug
Arouca2
Maritimo1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 47%, draw 23%, away 29%
1.7–0.7match xG
Academico Viseu 0–3 Porto result and stats:
29 Aug
Academico Viseu0
Porto3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 18%, draw 22%, away 60%
0.8–1.5match xG
Sunday 30 August – Primeira Liga results
3 matches30 Aug
Nacional2
Estrela3
Upset
Win probability: home 48%, draw 26%, away 25%
0.8–2.1match xG
Casa Pia 0–1 Moreirense result and stats:
30 Aug
Casa Pia0
Moreirense1
Upset
Win probability: home 37%, draw 28%, away 35%
0.8–0.3match xG
Famalicão 0–0 Gil Vicente result and stats:
30 Aug
Famalicão0
Gil Vicente0
Upset
Win probability: home 46%, draw 28%, away 26%
0.2–0.3match xG
Monday 31 August – Primeira Liga results
2 matches31 Aug
Benfica2
Estoril1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 83%, draw 11%, away 6%
2.0–0.4match xG
Sp Braga 1–0 Vitória SC result and stats:
31 Aug
Sp Braga1
Vitória SC0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 61%, draw 21%, away 18%
0.8–0.2match xG
Friday 4 September – Primeira Liga results
1 match4 Sep
Porto2
Moreirense1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 76%, draw 16%, away 8%
2.9–0.8match xG
Saturday 5 September – Primeira Liga results
4 matches5 Sep
Estrela2
Famalicão2
Upset
Win probability: home 28%, draw 28%, away 44%
0.9–1.8match xG
Alverca 1–2 Sp Braga result and stats:
5 Sep
Alverca1
Sp Braga2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 20%, draw 22%, away 58%
1.1–2.3match xG
Maritimo 0–3 Benfica result and stats:
5 Sep
Maritimo0
Benfica3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 11%, draw 17%, away 72%
0.1–1.3match xG
Sporting CP 2–0 Nacional result and stats:
5 Sep
Sporting CP2
Nacional0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 84%, draw 11%, away 5%
3.0–0.1match xG
Sunday 6 September – Primeira Liga results
3 matches6 Sep
Santa Clara4
Rio Ave0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 48%, draw 28%, away 24%
1.8–0.3match xG
Vitória SC 0–0 Casa Pia result and stats:
6 Sep
Vitória SC0
Casa Pia0
Upset
Win probability: home 57%, draw 24%, away 19%
2.5–0.2match xG
Gil Vicente 0–1 Academico Viseu result and stats:
6 Sep
Gil Vicente0
Academico Viseu1
Upset
Win probability: home 48%, draw 25%, away 28%
1.9–0.3match xG
Monday 7 September – Primeira Liga results
1 match7 Sep
Estoril0
Arouca0
Upset
Win probability: home 48%, draw 22%, away 31%
0.9–1.1match xG
Wednesday 9 September – Primeira Liga results
1 match9 Sep
Moreirense0
Benfica4
Called correctly
Win probability: home 12%, draw 18%, away 70%
0.4–3.0match xG
Thursday 10 September – Primeira Liga results
1 match10 Sep
Estrela2
Sp Braga1
Upset
Win probability: home 19%, draw 21%, away 60%
0.6–0.6match xG
Saturday 12 September – Primeira Liga results
3 matches12 Sep
Nacional1
Alverca3
Upset
Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 29%
2.2–1.2match xG
Casa Pia 1–4 Porto result and stats:
12 Sep
Casa Pia1
Porto4
Called correctly
Win probability: home 11%, draw 20%, away 69%
1.6–2.6match xG
Academico Viseu 2–1 Vitória SC result and stats:
12 Sep
Academico Viseu2
Vitória SC1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 38%, draw 26%, away 37%
1.8–2.1match xG
Sunday 13 September – Primeira Liga results
3 matches13 Sep
Arouca1
Santa Clara2
Upset
Win probability: home 40%, draw 27%, away 33%
0.7–1.2match xG
Benfica 3–1 Gil Vicente result and stats:
13 Sep
Benfica3
Gil Vicente1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 75%, draw 16%, away 9%
2.9–1.1match xG
Famalicão 1–1 Sporting CP result and stats:
13 Sep
Famalicão1
Sporting CP1
Upset
Win probability: home 18%, draw 22%, away 59%
0.3–2.3match xG
Monday 14 September – Primeira Liga results
3 matches14 Sep
Rio Ave3
Estrela3
Upset
Win probability: home 42%, draw 26%, away 31%
1.2–1.9match xG
Moreirense 3–1 Maritimo result and stats:
14 Sep
Moreirense3
Maritimo1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 29%
2.0–0.8match xG
Sp Braga 1–0 Estoril result and stats:
14 Sep
Sp Braga1
Estoril0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 68%, draw 17%, away 15%
1.8–0.8match xG
Saturday 19 September – Primeira Liga results
4 matches19 Sep
Gil Vicente1
Maritimo1
Upset
Win probability: home 55%, draw 25%, away 21%
1.2–0.9match xG
Nacional 0–4 Famalicão result and stats:
19 Sep
Nacional0
Famalicão4
Called correctly
Win probability: home 30%, draw 29%, away 41%
1.2–1.4match xG
Alverca 1–0 Rio Ave result and stats:
19 Sep
Alverca1
Rio Ave0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 46%, draw 25%, away 28%
3.3–0.3match xG
Sporting CP 2–2 Arouca result and stats:
19 Sep
Sporting CP2
Arouca2
Upset
Win probability: home 84%, draw 10%, away 6%
1.3–2.1match xG
Sunday 20 September – Primeira Liga results
5 matches20 Sep
Estrela0
Academico Viseu2
Upset
Win probability: home 38%, draw 24%, away 38%
0.8–2.5match xG
Vitória SC 1–1 Moreirense result and stats:
20 Sep
Vitória SC1
Moreirense1
Upset
Win probability: home 52%, draw 25%, away 23%
1.1–0.5match xG
Estoril 1–2 Casa Pia result and stats:
20 Sep
Estoril1
Casa Pia2
Upset
Win probability: home 56%, draw 22%, away 22%
0.9–2.2match xG
Santa Clara 0–0 Sp Braga result and stats:
20 Sep
Santa Clara0
Sp Braga0
Upset
Win probability: home 27%, draw 27%, away 46%
1.0–0.5match xG
Porto 3–1 Benfica result and stats:
20 Sep
Porto3
Benfica1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 39%, draw 27%, away 34%
1.3–0.8match xG
Friday 9 October – Primeira Liga results
2 matches9 Oct
Moreirense0
Gil Vicente1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 35%, draw 28%, away 37%
1.1–1.5match xG
Sp Braga 1–3 Sporting CP result and stats:
9 Oct
Sp Braga1
Sporting CP3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 27%, draw 23%, away 50%
1.5–0.9match xG
Saturday 10 October – Primeira Liga results
3 matches10 Oct
Maritimo1
Porto2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 12%, draw 20%, away 68%
0.2–2.1match xG
Academico Viseu 2–1 Estoril result and stats:
10 Oct
Academico Viseu2
Estoril1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 53%, draw 21%, away 26%
0.7–1.4match xG
Casa Pia 0–1 Santa Clara result and stats:
10 Oct
Casa Pia0
Santa Clara1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 29%, draw 30%, away 41%
0.4–0.6match xG
Sunday 11 October – Primeira Liga results
3 matches11 Oct
Rio Ave3
Nacional2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 39%, draw 27%, away 34%
1.7–1.2match xG
Benfica 2–0 Vitória SC result and stats:
11 Oct
Benfica2
Vitória SC0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 75%, draw 16%, away 9%
2.8–0.4match xG
Arouca 1–0 Estrela result and stats:
11 Oct
Arouca1
Estrela0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 54%, draw 23%, away 24%
0.7–1.4match xG
Monday 12 October – Primeira Liga results
1 match12 Oct
Famalicão1
Alverca4
Upset
Win probability: home 54%, draw 25%, away 21%
0.4–2.9match xG
Monday 19 October – Primeira Liga results
1 match19 Oct
Sp Braga1
Gil Vicente2
Upset
Win probability: home 58%, draw 23%, away 19%
1.4–1.5match xG
Friday 23 October – Primeira Liga results
1 match23 Oct
Vitória SC5
Maritimo0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 53%, draw 25%, away 22%
1.8–0.5match xG
Saturday 24 October – Primeira Liga results
3 matches24 Oct
Estrela0
Casa Pia2
Upset
Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 29%
1.7–0.8match xG
Alverca 0–1 Arouca result and stats:
24 Oct
Alverca0
Arouca1
Upset
Win probability: home 43%, draw 24%, away 33%
0.4–2.0match xG
Gil Vicente 0–1 Porto result and stats:
24 Oct
Gil Vicente0
Porto1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 18%, draw 25%, away 58%
0.3–1.1match xG
Sunday 25 October – Primeira Liga results
4 matches25 Oct
Estoril1
Moreirense3
Upset
Win probability: home 48%, draw 24%, away 28%
2.0–1.3match xG
Nacional 1–0 Sp Braga result and stats:
25 Oct
Nacional1
Sp Braga0
Upset
Win probability: home 21%, draw 23%, away 56%
0.5–1.7match xG
Rio Ave 0–4 Famalicão result and stats:
25 Oct
Rio Ave0
Famalicão4
Called correctly
Win probability: home 28%, draw 27%, away 45%
0.6–1.6match xG
Sporting CP 1–2 Academico Viseu result and stats:
25 Oct
Sporting CP1
Academico Viseu2
Upset
Win probability: home 79%, draw 13%, away 8%
2.2–0.8match xG
Monday 26 October – Primeira Liga results
1 match26 Oct
Santa Clara1
Benfica2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 16%, draw 23%, away 61%
1.6–1.8match xG