Benfica vs Estoril result and stats
Win probability: home 83%, draw 11%, away 6%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBenfica beat Estoril 2–1 at home in the Primeira Liga on Monday 31 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Benfica 83%, the draw 11% and Estoril 6%, so a home win had a 83% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Benfica 2.03, Estoril 0.36, so Benfica created the better chances. Benfica had 25 shots (8 on target) to Estoril's 4 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BEES
2.03Expected goals0.36
25Shots4
8On target2
9Corners0
14Fouls12
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Benfica
W @ Casa Pia7–0 · 17 Aug
D v Academico Viseu2–2 · 9 Aug
W @ Estoril3–1 · 16 May
D v Sp Braga2–2 · 11 May
D @ Famalicão2–2 · 2 May
Estoril
L v Rio Ave0–2 · 22 Aug
L @ Nacional0–2 · 16 Aug
D v Famalicão1–1 · 7 Aug
L v Benfica1–3 · 16 May
D @ Alverca1–1 · 10 May
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Benfica won 9, Estoril won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Estoril 1–3 Benfica, a win for Benfica.
Estoril 1–3 Benfica16 May 2026
Benfica 3–1 Estoril3 Jan 2026
Estoril 1–2 Benfica3 May 2025
Benfica 3–0 Estoril23 Dec 2024
Benfica 3–1 Estoril10 Mar 2024
Estoril 0–1 Benfica7 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
BEES
2.89Goals0.56
0.89Conceded1.67
2.31xG1.06
0.73xG against1.49
19.2Shots14.4
6.4On target5.2
7.2Corners5.0
2.11Yellow cards2.44
44%Clean sheets11%
56%Both score56%
89%3+ goals44%