Benfica
Benfica are 2nd in the Primeira Liga with 22 points from 9 games (7 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats), having scored 26 and conceded 8.
They average 2.31 expected goals for and 0.73 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 2nd of 18 teams in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Benfica to finish with about 78 points, with a 39% chance of winning the league, 100% of a top-four finish and 0% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: home to Alverca on Monday 2 November 2026, where GossipBall gives Benfica a 81% chance of winning.
2 / 18GOSSIPBALL rating rank
2.31xG per game
0.73xG against per game
44%clean sheets
78.0expected final points
39%chance to win the league
Next matches
Benfica
Alverca
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 81%, draw 12%, away 7%
Likeliest score 2–0
Estrela vs Benfica prediction (Primeira Liga):
Estrela
Benfica
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 9%, draw 15%, away 76%
Likeliest score 0–2
Results this season
26 Oct
Santa Clara1
Benfica2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 16%, draw 23%, away 61%
1.6–1.8match xG
Benfica 2–0 Vitória SC result and stats:
11 Oct
Benfica2
Vitória SC0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 75%, draw 16%, away 9%
2.8–0.4match xG
Porto 3–1 Benfica result and stats:
20 Sep
Porto3
Benfica1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 39%, draw 27%, away 34%
1.3–0.8match xG
Benfica 3–1 Gil Vicente result and stats:
13 Sep
Benfica3
Gil Vicente1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 75%, draw 16%, away 9%
2.9–1.1match xG
Moreirense 0–4 Benfica result and stats:
9 Sep
Moreirense0
Benfica4
Called correctly
Win probability: home 12%, draw 18%, away 70%
0.4–3.0match xG
Maritimo 0–3 Benfica result and stats:
5 Sep
Maritimo0
Benfica3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 11%, draw 17%, away 72%
0.1–1.3match xG
Benfica 2–1 Estoril result and stats:
31 Aug
Benfica2
Estoril1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 83%, draw 11%, away 6%
2.0–0.4match xG
Casa Pia 0–7 Benfica result and stats:
17 Aug
Casa Pia0
Benfica7
Called correctly
Win probability: home 10%, draw 17%, away 73%
0.1–3.0match xG
Benfica 2–2 Academico Viseu result and stats:
9 Aug
Benfica2
Academico Viseu2
Upset
Win probability: home 79%, draw 13%, away 7%
3.1–1.2match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored2.89
Goals conceded0.89
Expected goals (xG)2.31
xG against0.73
Shots19.2
Shots on target6.4
Shots on target against2.6
Conversion (goals per shot on target)45%
Corners7.2
Fouls12.2
Yellow cards2.11
Red cards0.22
Clean sheets44%
Both teams scored56%
3 or more goals89%
Failed to score0%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)+0.66
Defence (positive = concedes less)+0.50
Overall+1.16