Porto vs Benfica result and stats
Win probability: home 39%, draw 27%, away 34%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersPorto beat Benfica 3–1 at home in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 20 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Porto 39%, the draw 27% and Benfica 34%, so a home win had a 39% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Porto 1.30, Benfica 0.84, so Porto created the better chances. Porto had 20 shots (7 on target) to Benfica's 12 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
POBE
1.30Expected goals0.84
20Shots12
7On target3
3Corners3
17Fouls12
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Porto
W @ Casa Pia4–1 · 12 Sep
W v Moreirense2–1 · 4 Sep
W @ Academico Viseu3–0 · 29 Aug
W v Arouca2–0 · 23 Aug
W @ Rio Ave2–0 · 15 Aug
Benfica
W v Gil Vicente3–1 · 13 Sep
W @ Moreirense4–0 · 9 Sep
W @ Maritimo3–0 · 5 Sep
W v Estoril2–1 · 31 Aug
W @ Casa Pia7–0 · 17 Aug
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Porto won 4, Benfica won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Mar 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
Benfica 2–2 Porto8 Mar 2026
Porto 0–0 Benfica5 Oct 2025
Porto 1–4 Benfica6 Apr 2025
Benfica 4–1 Porto10 Nov 2024
Porto 5–0 Benfica3 Mar 2024
Benfica 1–0 Porto29 Sep 2023
Season averages per game
POBE
2.33Goals2.89
0.44Conceded0.89
2.12xG2.31
0.82xG against0.73
15.9Shots19.2
6.3On target6.4
6.9Corners7.2
1.00Yellow cards2.11
56%Clean sheets44%
44%Both score56%
56%3+ goals89%