Porto
Porto are 1st in the Primeira Liga with 27 points from 9 games (9 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats), having scored 21 and conceded 4.
They average 2.12 expected goals for and 0.82 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 3rd of 18 teams in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Porto to finish with about 79 points, with a 47% chance of winning the league, 100% of a top-four finish and 0% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: home to Estoril on Saturday 31 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Porto a 77% chance of winning.
3 / 18GOSSIPBALL rating rank
2.12xG per game
0.82xG against per game
56%clean sheets
79.4expected final points
47%chance to win the league
Next matches
Porto
Estoril
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 77%, draw 14%, away 8%
Likeliest score 2–0
Vitória SC vs Porto prediction (Primeira Liga):
Vitória SC
Porto
Win probability: home 18%, draw 24%, away 58%
Likeliest score 0–1
Results this season
24 Oct
Gil Vicente0
Porto1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 18%, draw 25%, away 58%
0.3–1.1match xG
Maritimo 1–2 Porto result and stats:
10 Oct
Maritimo1
Porto2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 12%, draw 20%, away 68%
0.2–2.1match xG
Porto 3–1 Benfica result and stats:
20 Sep
Porto3
Benfica1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 39%, draw 27%, away 34%
1.3–0.8match xG
Casa Pia 1–4 Porto result and stats:
12 Sep
Casa Pia1
Porto4
Called correctly
Win probability: home 11%, draw 20%, away 69%
1.6–2.6match xG
Porto 2–1 Moreirense result and stats:
4 Sep
Porto2
Moreirense1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 76%, draw 16%, away 8%
2.9–0.8match xG
Academico Viseu 0–3 Porto result and stats:
29 Aug
Academico Viseu0
Porto3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 18%, draw 22%, away 60%
0.8–1.5match xG
Porto 2–0 Arouca result and stats:
23 Aug
Porto2
Arouca0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 76%, draw 15%, away 9%
3.0–0.5match xG
Rio Ave 0–2 Porto result and stats:
15 Aug
Rio Ave0
Porto2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 13%, draw 20%, away 67%
0.6–2.0match xG
Porto 2–0 Alverca result and stats:
9 Aug
Porto2
Alverca0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 78%, draw 15%, away 7%
2.6–1.7match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored2.33
Goals conceded0.44
Expected goals (xG)2.12
xG against0.82
Shots15.9
Shots on target6.3
Shots on target against2.7
Conversion (goals per shot on target)37%
Corners6.9
Fouls14.2
Yellow cards1.00
Red cards0.00
Clean sheets56%
Both teams scored44%
3 or more goals56%
Failed to score0%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)+0.47
Defence (positive = concedes less)+0.62
Overall+1.09