Maritimo vs Porto result and stats
Win probability: home 12%, draw 20%, away 68%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersPorto won 2–1 away at Maritimo in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 10 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Maritimo 12%, the draw 20% and Porto 68%, so an away win had a 68% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Maritimo 0.19, Porto 2.13, so Porto created the better chances. Maritimo had 7 shots (4 on target) to Porto's 19 (9 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
MAPO
0.19Expected goals2.13
7Shots19
4On target9
2Corners6
15Fouls15
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
Maritimo
D @ Gil Vicente1–1 · 19 Sep
L @ Moreirense1–3 · 14 Sep
L v Benfica0–3 · 5 Sep
L @ Arouca1–2 · 29 Aug
D v Academico Viseu2–2 · 22 Aug
Porto
W v Benfica3–1 · 20 Sep
W @ Casa Pia4–1 · 12 Sep
W v Moreirense2–1 · 4 Sep
W @ Academico Viseu3–0 · 29 Aug
W v Arouca2–0 · 23 Aug
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Maritimo won 0, Porto won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Feb 2023, finished Maritimo 0–2 Porto, a win for Porto.
Maritimo 0–2 Porto1 Feb 2023
Porto 5–1 Maritimo6 Aug 2022
Porto 2–1 Maritimo30 Jan 2022
Maritimo 1–1 Porto22 Aug 2021
Season averages per game
MAPO
1.00Goals2.33
2.11Conceded0.44
0.81xG2.12
1.46xG against0.82
10.0Shots15.9
3.1On target6.3
3.1Corners6.9
1.89Yellow cards1.00
11%Clean sheets56%
67%Both score44%
78%3+ goals56%