Vitória SC vs Arouca result and stats
Win probability: home 49%, draw 23%, away 27%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersArouca won 1–0 away at Vitória SC in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 8 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Vitória SC 49%, the draw 23% and Arouca 27%, so an away win had a 27% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Vitória SC 2.22, Arouca 0.49, so Vitória SC created the better chances. Vitória SC had 24 shots (3 on target) to Arouca's 4 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
VIAR
2.22Expected goals0.49
24Shots4
3On target2
5Corners2
9Fouls7
2Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Vitória SC
L @ Nacional0–2 · 16 May
L v Casa Pia0–1 · 11 May
L @ Sporting CP1–5 · 4 May
W v Rio Ave2–0 · 25 Apr
W @ Gil Vicente1–0 · 18 Apr
Arouca
W v Tondela3–1 · 16 May
W @ Gil Vicente3–1 · 11 May
D v Santa Clara2–2 · 2 May
L @ Alverca1–2 · 24 Apr
W v Estrela1–0 · 19 Apr
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Vitória SC won 3, Arouca won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Arouca 3–2 Vitória SC, a win for Arouca.
Arouca 3–2 Vitória SC7 Feb 2026
Vitória SC 1–1 Arouca30 Aug 2025
Vitória SC 2–2 Arouca18 Jan 2025
Arouca 0–1 Vitória SC12 Aug 2024
Arouca 1–3 Vitória SC18 May 2024
Vitória SC 2–1 Arouca15 Jan 2024
Season averages per game
VIAR
1.11Goals1.33
1.11Conceded0.78
1.62xG1.28
0.97xG against1.28
17.6Shots11.1
4.6On target3.8
5.8Corners3.1
2.78Yellow cards2.89
33%Clean sheets56%
33%Both score33%
33%3+ goals44%