Famalicão vs Alverca result and stats
Win probability: home 54%, draw 25%, away 21%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAlverca won 4–1 away at Famalicão in the Primeira Liga on Monday 12 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Famalicão 54%, the draw 25% and Alverca 21%, so an away win had a 21% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Famalicão 0.36, Alverca 2.89, so Alverca created the better chances. Famalicão had 13 shots (2 on target) to Alverca's 14 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
FAAL
0.36Expected goals2.89
13Shots14
2On target5
8Corners3
11Fouls27
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
Famalicão
W @ Nacional4–0 · 19 Sep
D v Sporting CP1–1 · 13 Sep
D @ Estrela2–2 · 5 Sep
D v Gil Vicente0–0 · 30 Aug
L @ Santa Clara0–1 · 23 Aug
Alverca
W v Rio Ave1–0 · 19 Sep
W @ Nacional3–1 · 12 Sep
L v Sp Braga1–2 · 5 Sep
D v Santa Clara1–1 · 29 Aug
L @ Sporting CP1–3 · 22 Aug
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2026, Famalicão won 1, Alverca won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Famalicão 1–0 Alverca, a win for Famalicão.
Famalicão 1–0 Alverca16 May 2026
Alverca 1–0 Famalicão4 Jan 2026
Season averages per game
FAAL
1.56Goals1.44
1.22Conceded1.44
1.00xG1.45
1.38xG against1.62
10.2Shots11.9
3.4On target3.8
5.3Corners4.6
2.00Yellow cards2.11
33%Clean sheets11%
56%Both score67%
56%3+ goals56%