Alverca
Alverca are 8th in the Primeira Liga with 11 points from 9 games (3 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats), having scored 13 and conceded 13.
They average 1.45 expected goals for and 1.62 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 12th of 18 teams in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Alverca to finish with about 40 points, with a 0% chance of winning the league, 1% of a top-four finish and 8% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: away at Benfica on Monday 2 November 2026, where GossipBall gives Alverca a 7% chance of winning.
12 / 18GOSSIPBALL rating rank
1.45xG per game
1.62xG against per game
11%clean sheets
40.2expected final points
0%chance to win the league
Next matches
Benfica
Alverca
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 81%, draw 12%, away 7%
Likeliest score 2–0
Alverca vs Casa Pia prediction (Primeira Liga):
Alverca
Casa Pia
Win probability: home 49%, draw 25%, away 25%
Likeliest score 1–0
Results this season
24 Oct
Alverca0
Arouca1
Upset
Win probability: home 43%, draw 24%, away 33%
0.4–2.0match xG
Famalicão 1–4 Alverca result and stats:
12 Oct
Famalicão1
Alverca4
Upset
Win probability: home 54%, draw 25%, away 21%
0.4–2.9match xG
Alverca 1–0 Rio Ave result and stats:
19 Sep
Alverca1
Rio Ave0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 46%, draw 25%, away 28%
3.3–0.3match xG
Nacional 1–3 Alverca result and stats:
12 Sep
Nacional1
Alverca3
Upset
Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 29%
2.2–1.2match xG
Alverca 1–2 Sp Braga result and stats:
5 Sep
Alverca1
Sp Braga2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 20%, draw 22%, away 58%
1.1–2.3match xG
Alverca 1–1 Santa Clara result and stats:
29 Aug
Alverca1
Santa Clara1
Upset
Win probability: home 36%, draw 30%, away 35%
0.4–1.4match xG
Sporting CP 3–1 Alverca result and stats:
22 Aug
Sporting CP3
Alverca1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 86%, draw 9%, away 5%
2.1–0.4match xG
Alverca 2–2 Estrela result and stats:
15 Aug
Alverca2
Estrela2
Upset
Win probability: home 46%, draw 26%, away 27%
1.8–1.3match xG
Porto 2–0 Alverca result and stats:
9 Aug
Porto2
Alverca0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 78%, draw 15%, away 7%
2.6–1.7match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored1.44
Goals conceded1.44
Expected goals (xG)1.45
xG against1.62
Shots11.9
Shots on target3.8
Shots on target against4.3
Conversion (goals per shot on target)38%
Corners4.6
Fouls14.0
Yellow cards2.11
Red cards0.33
Clean sheets11%
Both teams scored67%
3 or more goals56%
Failed to score22%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)0.00
Defence (positive = concedes less)-0.07
Overall-0.07