Alverca vs Sp Braga result and stats
Win probability: home 20%, draw 22%, away 58%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersSp Braga won 2–1 away at Alverca in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 5 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Alverca 20%, the draw 22% and Sp Braga 58%, so an away win had a 58% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Alverca 1.08, Sp Braga 2.26, so Sp Braga created the better chances. Alverca had 6 shots (2 on target) to Sp Braga's 16 (6 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ALSB
1.08Expected goals2.26
6Shots16
2On target6
2Corners2
11Fouls15
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Alverca
D v Santa Clara1–1 · 29 Aug
L @ Sporting CP1–3 · 22 Aug
D v Estrela2–2 · 15 Aug
L @ Porto0–2 · 9 Aug
L @ Famalicão0–1 · 16 May
Sp Braga
W v Vitória SC1–0 · 31 Aug
D @ Moreirense2–2 · 9 Aug
D v Estrela2–2 · 16 May
D @ Benfica2–2 · 11 May
D v Estoril1–1 · 3 May
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Alverca won 0, Sp Braga won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Jan 2026, finished Sp Braga 5–0 Alverca, a win for Sp Braga.
Sp Braga 5–0 Alverca25 Jan 2026
Alverca 0–3 Sp Braga17 Aug 2025
Season averages per game
ALSB
1.44Goals1.00
1.44Conceded1.22
1.45xG1.33
1.62xG against0.76
11.9Shots14.2
3.8On target4.2
4.6Corners4.3
2.11Yellow cards2.00
11%Clean sheets33%
67%Both score56%
56%3+ goals56%