Alverca vs Santa Clara result and stats
Win probability: home 36%, draw 30%, away 35%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAlverca and Santa Clara drew 1–1 in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 29 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Alverca 36%, the draw 30% and Santa Clara 35%, so a draw had a 30% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Alverca 0.41, Santa Clara 1.41, so Santa Clara created the better chances. Alverca had 5 shots (1 on target) to Santa Clara's 15 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ALSC
0.41Expected goals1.41
5Shots15
1On target3
10Corners4
14Fouls9
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Alverca
L @ Sporting CP1–3 · 22 Aug
D v Estrela2–2 · 15 Aug
L @ Porto0–2 · 9 Aug
L @ Famalicão0–1 · 16 May
D v Estoril1–1 · 10 May
Santa Clara
W v Famalicão1–0 · 23 Aug
W @ Academico Viseu1–0 · 15 Aug
D v Nacional2–2 · 10 Aug
L @ Porto0–1 · 16 May
W v Nacional2–0 · 11 May
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Alverca won 0, Santa Clara won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Alverca 1–1 Santa Clara21 Feb 2026
Santa Clara 2–1 Alverca20 Sep 2025
Season averages per game
ALSC
1.44Goals1.44
1.44Conceded0.67
1.45xG1.29
1.62xG against0.80
11.9Shots13.2
3.8On target3.8
4.6Corners3.9
2.11Yellow cards3.00
11%Clean sheets56%
67%Both score44%
56%3+ goals44%