Alverca vs Arouca result and stats
Win probability: home 43%, draw 24%, away 33%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersArouca won 1–0 away at Alverca in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 24 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Alverca 43%, the draw 24% and Arouca 33%, so an away win had a 33% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Alverca 0.39, Arouca 2.04, so Arouca created the better chances. Alverca had 10 shots (1 on target) to Arouca's 17 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ALAR
0.39Expected goals2.04
10Shots17
1On target4
3Corners3
9Fouls14
1Yellow cards2
2Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Alverca
W @ Famalicão4–1 · 12 Oct
W v Rio Ave1–0 · 19 Sep
W @ Nacional3–1 · 12 Sep
L v Sp Braga1–2 · 5 Sep
D v Santa Clara1–1 · 29 Aug
Arouca
W v Estrela1–0 · 11 Oct
D @ Sporting CP2–2 · 19 Sep
L v Santa Clara1–2 · 13 Sep
D @ Estoril0–0 · 7 Sep
W v Maritimo2–1 · 29 Aug
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Alverca won 1, Arouca won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Apr 2026, finished Alverca 2–1 Arouca, a win for Alverca.
Alverca 2–1 Arouca24 Apr 2026
Arouca 1–0 Alverca14 Dec 2025
Season averages per game
ALAR
1.44Goals1.33
1.44Conceded0.78
1.45xG1.28
1.62xG against1.28
11.9Shots11.1
3.8On target3.8
4.6Corners3.1
2.11Yellow cards2.89
11%Clean sheets56%
67%Both score33%
56%3+ goals44%