Estrela vs Sporting CP result and stats
Win probability: home 8%, draw 13%, away 79%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstrela and Sporting CP drew 2–2 in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 8 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Estrela 8%, the draw 13% and Sporting CP 79%, so a draw had a 13% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Estrela 1.01, Sporting CP 2.62, so Sporting CP created the better chances. Estrela had 9 shots (4 on target) to Sporting CP's 15 (8 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ESSC
1.01Expected goals2.62
9Shots15
4On target8
5Corners4
13Fouls14
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Estrela
D @ Sp Braga2–2 · 16 May
D v Famalicão0–0 · 11 May
L @ Moreirense2–3 · 2 May
L v Porto1–2 · 26 Apr
L @ Arouca0–1 · 19 Apr
Sporting CP
W v Gil Vicente3–0 · 16 May
W @ Rio Ave4–1 · 11 May
W v Vitória SC5–1 · 4 May
D v Tondela2–2 · 29 Apr
D @ AVS1–1 · 26 Apr
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2023, Estrela won 0, Sporting CP won 6 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Apr 2026, finished Estrela 0–1 Sporting CP, a win for Sporting CP.
Estrela 0–1 Sporting CP11 Apr 2026
Sporting CP 4–0 Estrela30 Nov 2025
Estrela 0–3 Sporting CP29 Mar 2025
Sporting CP 5–1 Estrela1 Nov 2024
Estrela 1–2 Sporting CP29 Mar 2024
Sporting CP 3–2 Estrela5 Nov 2023
Season averages per game
ESSC
1.56Goals2.33
1.89Conceded1.22
1.31xG1.92
1.44xG against0.87
13.4Shots14.6
4.4On target5.3
4.6Corners5.2
2.22Yellow cards2.33
0%Clean sheets22%
67%Both score78%
67%3+ goals78%