Estrela
Estrela are 12th in the Primeira Liga with 10 points from 9 games (2 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats), having scored 14 and conceded 17.
They average 1.31 expected goals for and 1.44 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 15th of 18 teams in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Estrela to finish with about 35 points, with a 0% chance of winning the league, 0% of a top-four finish and 29% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: away at Moreirense on Saturday 31 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Estrela a 28% chance of winning.
15 / 18GOSSIPBALL rating rank
1.31xG per game
1.44xG against per game
0%clean sheets
34.9expected final points
0%chance to win the league
Next matches
Moreirense
Estrela
Win probability: home 46%, draw 26%, away 28%
Likeliest score 1–0
Estrela vs Benfica prediction (Primeira Liga):
Estrela
Benfica
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 9%, draw 15%, away 76%
Likeliest score 0–2
Results this season
24 Oct
Estrela0
Casa Pia2
Upset
Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 29%
1.7–0.8match xG
Arouca 1–0 Estrela result and stats:
11 Oct
Arouca1
Estrela0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 54%, draw 23%, away 24%
0.7–1.4match xG
Estrela 0–2 Academico Viseu result and stats:
20 Sep
Estrela0
Academico Viseu2
Upset
Win probability: home 38%, draw 24%, away 38%
0.8–2.5match xG
Rio Ave 3–3 Estrela result and stats:
14 Sep
Rio Ave3
Estrela3
Upset
Win probability: home 42%, draw 26%, away 31%
1.2–1.9match xG
Estrela 2–1 Sp Braga result and stats:
10 Sep
Estrela2
Sp Braga1
Upset
Win probability: home 19%, draw 21%, away 60%
0.6–0.6match xG
Estrela 2–2 Famalicão result and stats:
5 Sep
Estrela2
Famalicão2
Upset
Win probability: home 28%, draw 28%, away 44%
0.9–1.8match xG
Nacional 2–3 Estrela result and stats:
30 Aug
Nacional2
Estrela3
Upset
Win probability: home 48%, draw 26%, away 25%
0.8–2.1match xG
Alverca 2–2 Estrela result and stats:
15 Aug
Alverca2
Estrela2
Upset
Win probability: home 46%, draw 26%, away 27%
1.8–1.3match xG
Estrela 2–2 Sporting CP result and stats:
8 Aug
Estrela2
Sporting CP2
Upset
Win probability: home 8%, draw 13%, away 79%
1.0–2.6match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored1.56
Goals conceded1.89
Expected goals (xG)1.31
xG against1.44
Shots13.4
Shots on target4.4
Shots on target against4.7
Conversion (goals per shot on target)35%
Corners4.6
Fouls11.0
Yellow cards2.22
Red cards0.00
Clean sheets0%
Both teams scored67%
3 or more goals67%
Failed to score33%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)-0.11
Defence (positive = concedes less)-0.14
Overall-0.24