Estrela vs Famalicão result and stats
Win probability: home 28%, draw 28%, away 44%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstrela and Famalicão drew 2–2 in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 5 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Estrela 28%, the draw 28% and Famalicão 44%, so a draw had a 28% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Estrela 0.94, Famalicão 1.81, so Famalicão created the better chances. Estrela had 14 shots (4 on target) to Famalicão's 14 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ESFA
0.94Expected goals1.81
14Shots14
4On target4
5Corners5
11Fouls9
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Estrela
W @ Nacional3–2 · 30 Aug
D @ Alverca2–2 · 15 Aug
D v Sporting CP2–2 · 8 Aug
D @ Sp Braga2–2 · 16 May
D v Famalicão0–0 · 11 May
Famalicão
D v Gil Vicente0–0 · 30 Aug
L @ Santa Clara0–1 · 23 Aug
L v Maritimo1–2 · 16 Aug
D @ Estoril1–1 · 7 Aug
W v Alverca1–0 · 16 May
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2023, Estrela won 2, Famalicão won 1 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 May 2026, was a 0–0 draw.
Estrela 0–0 Famalicão11 May 2026
Famalicão 2–3 Estrela27 Dec 2025
Famalicão 0–0 Estrela25 Jan 2025
Estrela 0–3 Famalicão19 Aug 2024
Famalicão 0–0 Estrela16 Mar 2024
Estrela 1–0 Famalicão29 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
ESFA
1.56Goals1.56
1.89Conceded1.22
1.31xG1.00
1.44xG against1.38
13.4Shots10.2
4.4On target3.4
4.6Corners5.3
2.22Yellow cards2.00
0%Clean sheets33%
67%Both score56%
67%3+ goals56%