Estrela vs Casa Pia result and stats
Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 29%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersCasa Pia won 2–0 away at Estrela in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 24 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Estrela 44%, the draw 27% and Casa Pia 29%, so an away win had a 29% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Estrela 1.69, Casa Pia 0.79, so Estrela created the better chances. Estrela had 18 shots (6 on target) to Casa Pia's 10 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ESCP
1.69Expected goals0.79
18Shots10
6On target4
7Corners5
13Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Estrela
L @ Arouca0–1 · 11 Oct
L v Academico Viseu0–2 · 20 Sep
D @ Rio Ave3–3 · 14 Sep
W v Sp Braga2–1 · 10 Sep
D v Famalicão2–2 · 5 Sep
Casa Pia
L v Santa Clara0–1 · 10 Oct
W @ Estoril2–1 · 20 Sep
L v Porto1–4 · 12 Sep
D @ Vitória SC0–0 · 6 Sep
L v Moreirense0–1 · 30 Aug
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2023, Estrela won 4, Casa Pia won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 20 Mar 2026, finished Estrela 4–0 Casa Pia, a win for Estrela.
Estrela 4–0 Casa Pia20 Mar 2026
Casa Pia 3–5 Estrela1 Nov 2025
Casa Pia 1–0 Estrela9 Feb 2025
Estrela 0–1 Casa Pia31 Aug 2024
Estrela 3–1 Casa Pia8 Mar 2024
Casa Pia 0–1 Estrela8 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
ESCP
1.56Goals0.56
1.89Conceded1.89
1.31xG0.83
1.44xG against1.63
13.4Shots9.7
4.4On target2.8
4.6Corners4.1
2.22Yellow cards2.22
0%Clean sheets22%
67%Both score22%
67%3+ goals33%