Casa Pia
Casa Pia are 16th in the Primeira Liga with 7 points from 9 games (2 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats), having scored 5 and conceded 17.
They average 0.83 expected goals for and 1.63 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 16th of 18 teams in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Casa Pia to finish with about 31 points, with a 0% chance of winning the league, 0% of a top-four finish and 54% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: home to Sporting CP on Friday 30 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Casa Pia a 8% chance of winning.
16 / 18GOSSIPBALL rating rank
0.83xG per game
1.63xG against per game
22%clean sheets
31.4expected final points
0%chance to win the league
Next matches
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 8%, draw 14%, away 77%
Likeliest score 0–2
Alverca vs Casa Pia prediction (Primeira Liga):
Alverca
Casa Pia
Win probability: home 49%, draw 25%, away 25%
Likeliest score 1–0
Results this season
24 Oct
Estrela0
Casa Pia2
Upset
Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 29%
1.7–0.8match xG
Casa Pia 0–1 Santa Clara result and stats:
10 Oct
Casa Pia0
Santa Clara1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 29%, draw 30%, away 41%
0.4–0.6match xG
Estoril 1–2 Casa Pia result and stats:
20 Sep
Estoril1
Casa Pia2
Upset
Win probability: home 56%, draw 22%, away 22%
0.9–2.2match xG
Casa Pia 1–4 Porto result and stats:
12 Sep
Casa Pia1
Porto4
Called correctly
Win probability: home 11%, draw 20%, away 69%
1.6–2.6match xG
Vitória SC 0–0 Casa Pia result and stats:
6 Sep
Vitória SC0
Casa Pia0
Upset
Win probability: home 57%, draw 24%, away 19%
2.5–0.2match xG
Casa Pia 0–1 Moreirense result and stats:
30 Aug
Casa Pia0
Moreirense1
Upset
Win probability: home 37%, draw 28%, away 35%
0.8–0.3match xG
Gil Vicente 2–0 Casa Pia result and stats:
24 Aug
Gil Vicente2
Casa Pia0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 54%, draw 25%, away 21%
1.7–0.8match xG
Casa Pia 0–7 Benfica result and stats:
17 Aug
Casa Pia0
Benfica7
Called correctly
Win probability: home 10%, draw 17%, away 73%
0.1–3.0match xG
Maritimo 1–0 Casa Pia result and stats:
8 Aug
Maritimo1
Casa Pia0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 39%, draw 27%, away 34%
1.3–0.7match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored0.56
Goals conceded1.89
Expected goals (xG)0.83
xG against1.63
Shots9.7
Shots on target2.8
Shots on target against5.2
Conversion (goals per shot on target)20%
Corners4.1
Fouls12.2
Yellow cards2.22
Red cards0.22
Clean sheets22%
Both teams scored22%
3 or more goals33%
Failed to score67%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)-0.20
Defence (positive = concedes less)-0.11
Overall-0.31