Estoril vs Casa Pia result and stats
Win probability: home 56%, draw 22%, away 22%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersCasa Pia won 2–1 away at Estoril in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 20 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Estoril 56%, the draw 22% and Casa Pia 22%, so an away win had a 22% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Estoril 0.95, Casa Pia 2.17, so Casa Pia created the better chances. Estoril had 14 shots (6 on target) to Casa Pia's 11 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ESCP
0.95Expected goals2.17
14Shots11
6On target3
7Corners4
7Fouls11
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Estoril
L @ Sp Braga0–1 · 14 Sep
D v Arouca0–0 · 7 Sep
L @ Benfica1–2 · 31 Aug
L v Rio Ave0–2 · 22 Aug
L @ Nacional0–2 · 16 Aug
Casa Pia
L v Porto1–4 · 12 Sep
D @ Vitória SC0–0 · 6 Sep
L v Moreirense0–1 · 30 Aug
L @ Gil Vicente0–2 · 24 Aug
L v Benfica0–7 · 17 Aug
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2023, Estoril won 3, Casa Pia won 1 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, was a 0–0 draw.
Estoril 0–0 Casa Pia7 Mar 2026
Casa Pia 2–2 Estoril3 Oct 2025
Casa Pia 1–3 Estoril29 Apr 2025
Estoril 0–2 Casa Pia15 Dec 2024
Casa Pia 0–0 Estoril8 Apr 2024
Estoril 4–0 Casa Pia10 Nov 2023
Season averages per game
ESCP
0.56Goals0.56
1.67Conceded1.89
1.06xG0.83
1.49xG against1.63
14.4Shots9.7
5.2On target2.8
5.0Corners4.1
2.44Yellow cards2.22
11%Clean sheets22%
56%Both score22%
44%3+ goals33%