Casa Pia vs Moreirense result and stats
Win probability: home 37%, draw 28%, away 35%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMoreirense won 1–0 away at Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 30 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Casa Pia 37%, the draw 28% and Moreirense 35%, so an away win had a 35% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Casa Pia 0.78, Moreirense 0.28, so Casa Pia created the better chances. Casa Pia had 14 shots (2 on target) to Moreirense's 6 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
CPMO
0.78Expected goals0.28
14Shots6
2On target5
5Corners1
14Fouls18
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Casa Pia
L @ Gil Vicente0–2 · 24 Aug
L v Benfica0–7 · 17 Aug
L @ Maritimo0–1 · 8 Aug
D v Rio Ave1–1 · 16 May
W @ Vitória SC1–0 · 11 May
Moreirense
L @ Arouca0–4 · 16 Aug
D v Sp Braga2–2 · 9 Aug
D v AVS0–0 · 16 May
L @ Tondela0–2 · 11 May
W v Estrela3–2 · 2 May
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2024, Casa Pia won 2, Moreirense won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Casa Pia 1–1 Moreirense1 Mar 2026
Moreirense 2–1 Casa Pia27 Sep 2025
Moreirense 3–2 Casa Pia15 Feb 2025
Casa Pia 3–1 Moreirense14 Sep 2024
Casa Pia 0–1 Moreirense12 May 2024
Moreirense 1–4 Casa Pia8 Jan 2024
Season averages per game
CPMO
0.56Goals1.22
1.89Conceded1.78
0.83xG0.79
1.63xG against1.74
9.7Shots8.4
2.8On target2.9
4.1Corners2.4
2.22Yellow cards2.44
22%Clean sheets11%
22%Both score56%
33%3+ goals67%