Moreirense
Moreirense are 10th in the Primeira Liga with 11 points from 9 games (3 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats), having scored 11 and conceded 16.
They average 0.79 expected goals for and 1.74 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 13th of 18 teams in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Moreirense to finish with about 39 points, with a 0% chance of winning the league, 0% of a top-four finish and 10% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: home to Estrela on Saturday 31 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Moreirense a 46% chance of winning.
13 / 18GOSSIPBALL rating rank
0.79xG per game
1.74xG against per game
11%clean sheets
39.3expected final points
0%chance to win the league
Next matches
Moreirense
Estrela
Win probability: home 46%, draw 26%, away 28%
Likeliest score 1–0
Sporting CP vs Moreirense prediction (Primeira Liga):
Sporting CP
Moreirense
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 83%, draw 11%, away 6%
Likeliest score 2–0
Results this season
25 Oct
Estoril1
Moreirense3
Upset
Win probability: home 48%, draw 24%, away 28%
2.0–1.3match xG
Moreirense 0–1 Gil Vicente result and stats:
9 Oct
Moreirense0
Gil Vicente1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 35%, draw 28%, away 37%
1.1–1.5match xG
Vitória SC 1–1 Moreirense result and stats:
20 Sep
Vitória SC1
Moreirense1
Upset
Win probability: home 52%, draw 25%, away 23%
1.1–0.5match xG
Moreirense 3–1 Maritimo result and stats:
14 Sep
Moreirense3
Maritimo1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 29%
2.0–0.8match xG
Moreirense 0–4 Benfica result and stats:
9 Sep
Moreirense0
Benfica4
Called correctly
Win probability: home 12%, draw 18%, away 70%
0.4–3.0match xG
Porto 2–1 Moreirense result and stats:
4 Sep
Porto2
Moreirense1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 76%, draw 16%, away 8%
2.9–0.8match xG
Casa Pia 0–1 Moreirense result and stats:
30 Aug
Casa Pia0
Moreirense1
Upset
Win probability: home 37%, draw 28%, away 35%
0.8–0.3match xG
Arouca 4–0 Moreirense result and stats:
16 Aug
Arouca4
Moreirense0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 46%, draw 24%, away 29%
2.1–0.5match xG
Moreirense 2–2 Sp Braga result and stats:
9 Aug
Moreirense2
Sp Braga2
Upset
Win probability: home 23%, draw 23%, away 54%
0.2–1.5match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored1.22
Goals conceded1.78
Expected goals (xG)0.79
xG against1.74
Shots8.4
Shots on target2.9
Shots on target against5.2
Conversion (goals per shot on target)42%
Corners2.4
Fouls13.7
Yellow cards2.44
Red cards0.11
Clean sheets11%
Both teams scored56%
3 or more goals67%
Failed to score33%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)-0.09
Defence (positive = concedes less)-0.04
Overall-0.13