Primeira LigaMatchday 11Saturday 7 November 2026 · 20:30

Sporting CP vs Moreirense prediction

Sporting CP

83%

home win

likeliest score

2–0

12.2% chance

11%

draw

Moreirense

away win

Win probability: home 83%, draw 11%, away 6%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Sporting CP clear favourites to beat Moreirense at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 20:30 UTC. It gives Sporting CP a 83% chance of winning, puts the draw at 11% and gives Moreirense 6%.

GossipBall expects 2.9 goals from Sporting CP and 0.7 from Moreirense, so goals look likely: there is a 68% chance of three or more goals and a 45% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 2–0 (12%). Sporting CP keep a clean sheet in 52% of outcomes, Moreirense in 6%.

Sporting CP are 3rd in the table with 18 points from 9 games; Moreirense are 10th with 11. In their last five league games Sporting CP took 8 points (WDDWL) and Moreirense took 7 (LWDLW). This season Sporting CP average 1.92 expected goals (xG) for and 0.87 against per game; Moreirense average 0.79 for and 1.74 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Sporting CP won 7, Moreirense won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, finished Moreirense 0–3 Sporting CP, a win for Sporting CP.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Sporting CP goalsColumns: Moreirense goals

2–012.2%

3–011.7%

1–08.7%

4–08.3%

2–18.0%

3–17.6%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

97%

2 or more goals

86%

3 or more goals

68%

4 or more goals

46%

5 or more goals

28%

Both teams score

45%

GOSSIPBALL expects 3.5 goals in total: 2.85 for Sporting CP and 0.65 for Moreirense.

Winning margin

Explained

Sporting CP by 3

18%

Sporting CP by 2

22%

Sporting CP by 1

20%

Draw

11%

Moreirense by 3

Moreirense by 2

Moreirense by 1

Each team's goals

Explained

Sporting CP expected goals2.85

Moreirense expected goals0.65

Sporting CP keep a clean sheet52%

Moreirense keep a clean sheet6%

Sporting CP win without conceding49%

Moreirense win without conceding3%

Sporting CP score 2 or more78%

Moreirense score 2 or more14%

Recent form

Sporting CP

L v Academico Viseu1–2 · 25 Oct

W @ Sp Braga3–1 · 9 Oct

D v Arouca2–2 · 19 Sep

D @ Famalicão1–1 · 13 Sep

W v Nacional2–0 · 5 Sep

Moreirense

W @ Estoril3–1 · 25 Oct

L v Gil Vicente0–1 · 9 Oct

D @ Vitória SC1–1 · 20 Sep

W v Maritimo3–1 · 14 Sep

L v Benfica0–4 · 9 Sep

Head to head

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Sporting CP won 7, Moreirense won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, finished Moreirense 0–3 Sporting CP, a win for Sporting CP.

Moreirense 0–3 Sporting CP21 Feb 2026

Sporting CP 3–0 Moreirense22 Sep 2025

Sporting CP 3–1 Moreirense18 Apr 2025

Moreirense 2–1 Sporting CP5 Dec 2024

Moreirense 0–2 Sporting CP19 Feb 2024

Sporting CP 3–0 Moreirense17 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

SCMO

2.33

Goals

1.22

Conceded

1.78

1.92

0.79

0.87

xG against

1.74

14.6

Shots

8.4

5.3

On target

2.9

5.2

Corners

2.4

2.33

Yellow cards

2.44

22%

Clean sheets

11%

78%

Both score

56%

78%

3+ goals

67%

Questions and answers

Who will win Sporting CP vs Moreirense?

GossipBall gives Sporting CP a 83% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Moreirense 6%. GossipBall makes Sporting CP clear favourites to beat Moreirense at home.

What is the most likely score in Sporting CP vs Moreirense?

The likeliest single score is 2–0, with a 12% chance. The next most likely are 3–0 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 4–0 (8%).

Will both teams score in Sporting CP vs Moreirense?

GossipBall gives a 45% chance that both Sporting CP and Moreirense score.

Will there be three or more goals in Sporting CP vs Moreirense?

There is a 68% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.5 goals in total (2.9 for Sporting CP, 0.7 for Moreirense).

When is Sporting CP vs Moreirense?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 20:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Sporting CP and Moreirense?

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Sporting CP won 7, Moreirense won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, finished Moreirense 0–3 Sporting CP, a win for Sporting CP.