Estoril vs Moreirense result and stats
Win probability: home 48%, draw 24%, away 28%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMoreirense won 3–1 away at Estoril in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 25 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Estoril 48%, the draw 24% and Moreirense 28%, so an away win had a 28% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Estoril 2.01, Moreirense 1.33, so Estoril created the better chances. Estoril had 26 shots (7 on target) to Moreirense's 13 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ESMO
2.01Expected goals1.33
26Shots13
7On target4
6Corners3
17Fouls13
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals3
Recent form
Estoril
L @ Academico Viseu1–2 · 10 Oct
L v Casa Pia1–2 · 20 Sep
L @ Sp Braga0–1 · 14 Sep
D v Arouca0–0 · 7 Sep
L @ Benfica1–2 · 31 Aug
Moreirense
L v Gil Vicente0–1 · 9 Oct
D @ Vitória SC1–1 · 20 Sep
W v Maritimo3–1 · 14 Sep
L v Benfica0–4 · 9 Sep
L @ Porto1–2 · 4 Sep
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Estoril won 1, Moreirense won 4 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 20 Apr 2026, finished Moreirense 1–0 Estoril, a win for Moreirense.
Moreirense 1–0 Estoril20 Apr 2026
Estoril 3–3 Moreirense7 Dec 2025
Moreirense 2–2 Estoril11 May 2025
Estoril 2–2 Moreirense28 Dec 2024
Moreirense 2–1 Estoril18 May 2024
Estoril 1–3 Moreirense13 Jan 2024
Season averages per game
ESMO
0.56Goals1.22
1.67Conceded1.78
1.06xG0.79
1.49xG against1.74
14.4Shots8.4
5.2On target2.9
5.0Corners2.4
2.44Yellow cards2.44
11%Clean sheets11%
56%Both score56%
44%3+ goals67%