Primeira LigaThursday 10 September 2026 · 19:15

Estrela vs Sp Braga result and stats

Estrela

19%

pre-match home win

2–1

full time

21%

draw

Sp Braga

60%

pre-match away win

Win probability: home 19%, draw 21%, away 60%

Match report

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Estrela beat Sp Braga 2–1 at home in the Primeira Liga on Thursday 10 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Estrela 19%, the draw 21% and Sp Braga 60%, so a home win had a 19% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.

On expected goals it finished Estrela 0.57, Sp Braga 0.61, so Sp Braga created the better chances. Estrela had 9 shots (5 on target) to Sp Braga's 9 (4 on target).

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Match stats

ESSB

0.57

Expected goals

0.61

Shots

On target

Corners

Fouls

Yellow cards

Red cards

Half-time goals

Recent form

Estrela

D v Famalicão2–2 · 5 Sep

W @ Nacional3–2 · 30 Aug

D @ Alverca2–2 · 15 Aug

D v Sporting CP2–2 · 8 Aug

D @ Sp Braga2–2 · 16 May

Sp Braga

W @ Alverca2–1 · 5 Sep

W v Vitória SC1–0 · 31 Aug

D @ Moreirense2–2 · 9 Aug

D v Estrela2–2 · 16 May

D @ Benfica2–2 · 11 May

Head to head

In 6 league meetings since 2023, Estrela won 0, Sp Braga won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

Sp Braga 2–2 Estrela16 May 2026

Estrela 3–3 Sp Braga3 Jan 2026

Estrela 0–1 Sp Braga19 Jan 2025

Sp Braga 1–1 Estrela11 Aug 2024

Sp Braga 3–0 Estrela2 Mar 2024

Estrela 2–4 Sp Braga28 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

ESSB

1.56

Goals

1.00

1.89

Conceded

1.22

1.31

1.33

1.44

xG against

0.76

13.4

Shots

14.2

4.4

On target

4.2

4.6

Corners

4.3

2.22

Yellow cards

2.00

Clean sheets

33%

67%

Both score

56%

67%

3+ goals

56%