Estoril vs Rio Ave result and stats
Win probability: home 55%, draw 22%, away 23%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersRio Ave won 2–0 away at Estoril in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 22 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Estoril 55%, the draw 22% and Rio Ave 23%, so an away win had a 23% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Estoril 1.16, Rio Ave 0.71, so Estoril created the better chances. Estoril had 18 shots (6 on target) to Rio Ave's 3 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ESRA
1.16Expected goals0.71
18Shots3
6On target3
6Corners3
11Fouls14
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Estoril
L @ Nacional0–2 · 16 Aug
D v Famalicão1–1 · 7 Aug
L v Benfica1–3 · 16 May
D @ Alverca1–1 · 10 May
D @ Sp Braga1–1 · 3 May
Rio Ave
L v Porto0–2 · 15 Aug
L @ Gil Vicente0–1 · 9 Aug
D @ Casa Pia1–1 · 16 May
L v Sporting CP1–4 · 11 May
D v Gil Vicente0–0 · 3 May
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Estoril won 3, Rio Ave won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Mar 2026, finished Estoril 1–2 Rio Ave, a win for Rio Ave.
Estoril 1–2 Rio Ave22 Mar 2026
Rio Ave 0–4 Estoril1 Nov 2025
Estoril 2–1 Rio Ave22 Feb 2025
Rio Ave 2–2 Estoril21 Sep 2024
Rio Ave 1–1 Estoril31 Jan 2024
Estoril 2–0 Rio Ave20 Aug 2023
Season averages per game
ESRA
0.56Goals0.89
1.67Conceded2.33
1.06xG0.68
1.49xG against1.80
14.4Shots7.6
5.2On target3.0
5.0Corners3.8
2.44Yellow cards1.67
11%Clean sheets11%
56%Both score22%
44%3+ goals56%