Nacional vs Estoril result and stats
Win probability: home 40%, draw 24%, away 36%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersNacional beat Estoril 2–0 at home in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 16 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Nacional 40%, the draw 24% and Estoril 36%, so a home win had a 40% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Nacional 2.08, Estoril 0.82, so Nacional created the better chances. Nacional had 20 shots (3 on target) to Estoril's 9 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
NAES
2.08Expected goals0.82
20Shots9
3On target5
7Corners4
13Fouls13
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Nacional
D @ Santa Clara2–2 · 10 Aug
W v Vitória SC2–0 · 16 May
L @ Santa Clara0–2 · 11 May
L v AVS1–2 · 2 May
W @ Tondela2–0 · 25 Apr
Estoril
D v Famalicão1–1 · 7 Aug
L v Benfica1–3 · 16 May
D @ Alverca1–1 · 10 May
D @ Sp Braga1–1 · 3 May
L v Famalicão0–1 · 26 Apr
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2024, Nacional won 0, Estoril won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Nacional 0–1 Estoril, a win for Estoril.
Nacional 0–1 Estoril15 Mar 2026
Estoril 1–1 Nacional26 Oct 2025
Nacional 2–2 Estoril15 Feb 2025
Estoril 1–0 Nacional15 Sep 2024
Season averages per game
NAES
1.11Goals0.56
2.00Conceded1.67
1.09xG1.06
1.83xG against1.49
10.6Shots14.4
3.2On target5.2
4.3Corners5.0
1.22Yellow cards2.44
22%Clean sheets11%
44%Both score56%
56%3+ goals44%