Nacional vs Famalicão result and stats
Win probability: home 30%, draw 29%, away 41%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersFamalicão won 4–0 away at Nacional in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 19 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Nacional 30%, the draw 29% and Famalicão 41%, so an away win had a 41% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Nacional 1.23, Famalicão 1.45, so Famalicão created the better chances. Nacional had 12 shots (3 on target) to Famalicão's 12 (7 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
NAFA
1.23Expected goals1.45
12Shots12
3On target7
7Corners3
11Fouls10
1Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
0Half-time goals3
Recent form
Nacional
L v Alverca1–3 · 12 Sep
L @ Sporting CP0–2 · 5 Sep
L v Estrela2–3 · 30 Aug
L @ Vitória SC0–1 · 23 Aug
W v Estoril2–0 · 16 Aug
Famalicão
D v Sporting CP1–1 · 13 Sep
D @ Estrela2–2 · 5 Sep
D v Gil Vicente0–0 · 30 Aug
L @ Santa Clara0–1 · 23 Aug
L v Maritimo1–2 · 16 Aug
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2024, Nacional won 1, Famalicão won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Famalicão 1–0 Nacional, a win for Famalicão.
Famalicão 1–0 Nacional21 Mar 2026
Nacional 0–1 Famalicão1 Nov 2025
Nacional 2–1 Famalicão1 Mar 2025
Famalicão 0–0 Nacional29 Sep 2024
Season averages per game
NAFA
1.11Goals1.56
2.00Conceded1.22
1.09xG1.00
1.83xG against1.38
10.6Shots10.2
3.2On target3.4
4.3Corners5.3
1.22Yellow cards2.00
22%Clean sheets33%
44%Both score56%
56%3+ goals56%