Sporting CP vs Nacional result and stats
Win probability: home 84%, draw 11%, away 5%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersSporting CP beat Nacional 2–0 at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 5 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Sporting CP 84%, the draw 11% and Nacional 5%, so a home win had a 84% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Sporting CP 3.00, Nacional 0.08, so Sporting CP created the better chances. Sporting CP had 19 shots (8 on target) to Nacional's 3 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
SCNA
3.00Expected goals0.08
19Shots3
8On target2
12Corners0
10Fouls7
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Sporting CP
W @ Rio Ave4–0 · 28 Aug
W v Alverca3–1 · 22 Aug
W v Vitória SC3–2 · 14 Aug
D @ Estrela2–2 · 8 Aug
W v Gil Vicente3–0 · 16 May
Nacional
L v Estrela2–3 · 30 Aug
L @ Vitória SC0–1 · 23 Aug
W v Estoril2–0 · 16 Aug
D @ Santa Clara2–2 · 10 Aug
W v Vitória SC2–0 · 16 May
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2024, Sporting CP won 4, Nacional won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Feb 2026, finished Sporting CP 2–1 Nacional, a win for Sporting CP.
Sporting CP 2–1 Nacional1 Feb 2026
Nacional 1–4 Sporting CP23 Aug 2025
Sporting CP 2–0 Nacional25 Jan 2025
Nacional 1–6 Sporting CP17 Aug 2024
Season averages per game
SCNA
2.33Goals1.11
1.22Conceded2.00
1.92xG1.09
0.87xG against1.83
14.6Shots10.6
5.3On target3.2
5.2Corners4.3
2.33Yellow cards1.22
22%Clean sheets22%
78%Both score44%
78%3+ goals56%