Sp Braga vs Estoril result and stats
Win probability: home 68%, draw 17%, away 15%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersSp Braga beat Estoril 1–0 at home in the Primeira Liga on Monday 14 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Sp Braga 68%, the draw 17% and Estoril 15%, so a home win had a 68% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Sp Braga 1.79, Estoril 0.75, so Sp Braga created the better chances. Sp Braga had 20 shots (7 on target) to Estoril's 12 (1 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
SBES
1.79Expected goals0.75
20Shots12
7On target1
4Corners2
9Fouls12
0Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Sp Braga
L @ Estrela1–2 · 10 Sep
W @ Alverca2–1 · 5 Sep
W v Vitória SC1–0 · 31 Aug
D @ Moreirense2–2 · 9 Aug
D v Estrela2–2 · 16 May
Estoril
D v Arouca0–0 · 7 Sep
L @ Benfica1–2 · 31 Aug
L v Rio Ave0–2 · 22 Aug
L @ Nacional0–2 · 16 Aug
D v Famalicão1–1 · 7 Aug
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Sp Braga won 6, Estoril won 1 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 3 May 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Sp Braga 1–1 Estoril3 May 2026
Estoril 1–0 Sp Braga19 Dec 2025
Estoril 0–2 Sp Braga19 Apr 2025
Sp Braga 2–2 Estoril6 Dec 2024
Estoril 0–1 Sp Braga13 Apr 2024
Sp Braga 3–1 Estoril3 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
SBES
1.00Goals0.56
1.22Conceded1.67
1.33xG1.06
0.76xG against1.49
14.2Shots14.4
4.2On target5.2
4.3Corners5.0
2.00Yellow cards2.44
33%Clean sheets11%
56%Both score56%
56%3+ goals44%