Estoril vs Arouca result and stats
Win probability: home 48%, draw 22%, away 31%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstoril and Arouca drew 0–0 in the Primeira Liga on Monday 7 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Estoril 48%, the draw 22% and Arouca 31%, so a draw had a 22% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Estoril 0.87, Arouca 1.08, so Arouca created the better chances. Estoril had 18 shots (8 on target) to Arouca's 12 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ESAR
0.87Expected goals1.08
18Shots12
8On target2
8Corners2
12Fouls9
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Estoril
L @ Benfica1–2 · 31 Aug
L v Rio Ave0–2 · 22 Aug
L @ Nacional0–2 · 16 Aug
D v Famalicão1–1 · 7 Aug
L v Benfica1–3 · 16 May
Arouca
W v Maritimo2–1 · 29 Aug
L @ Porto0–2 · 23 Aug
W v Moreirense4–0 · 16 Aug
W @ Vitória SC1–0 · 8 Aug
W v Tondela3–1 · 16 May
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Estoril won 4, Arouca won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 6 Apr 2026, finished Arouca 3–2 Estoril, a win for Arouca.
Arouca 3–2 Estoril6 Apr 2026
Estoril 4–3 Arouca7 Nov 2025
Arouca 1–1 Estoril16 Mar 2025
Estoril 4–1 Arouca26 Oct 2024
Estoril 1–2 Arouca20 Jan 2024
Arouca 4–3 Estoril13 Aug 2023
Season averages per game
ESAR
0.56Goals1.33
1.67Conceded0.78
1.06xG1.28
1.49xG against1.28
14.4Shots11.1
5.2On target3.8
5.0Corners3.1
2.44Yellow cards2.89
11%Clean sheets56%
56%Both score33%
44%3+ goals44%