Estoril vs Famalicão result and stats
Win probability: home 36%, draw 25%, away 38%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstoril and Famalicão drew 1–1 in the Primeira Liga on Friday 7 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Estoril 36%, the draw 25% and Famalicão 38%, so a draw had a 25% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Estoril 1.22, Famalicão 1.47, so Famalicão created the better chances. Estoril had 14 shots (3 on target) to Famalicão's 6 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ESFA
1.22Expected goals1.47
14Shots6
3On target3
7Corners6
12Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Estoril
L v Benfica1–3 · 16 May
D @ Alverca1–1 · 10 May
D @ Sp Braga1–1 · 3 May
L v Famalicão0–1 · 26 Apr
L @ Moreirense0–1 · 20 Apr
Famalicão
W v Alverca1–0 · 16 May
D @ Estrela0–0 · 11 May
D v Benfica2–2 · 2 May
W @ Estoril1–0 · 26 Apr
D @ Sp Braga2–2 · 19 Apr
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Estoril won 3, Famalicão won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2026, finished Estoril 0–1 Famalicão, a win for Famalicão.
Estoril 0–1 Famalicão26 Apr 2026
Famalicão 4–0 Estoril14 Dec 2025
Famalicão 3–0 Estoril12 Apr 2025
Estoril 2–1 Famalicão1 Dec 2024
Estoril 1–0 Famalicão28 Apr 2024
Famalicão 1–1 Estoril17 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
ESFA
0.56Goals1.56
1.67Conceded1.22
1.06xG1.00
1.49xG against1.38
14.4Shots10.2
5.2On target3.4
5.0Corners5.3
2.44Yellow cards2.00
11%Clean sheets33%
56%Both score56%
44%3+ goals56%