Arouca vs Maritimo result and stats
Win probability: home 47%, draw 23%, away 29%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersArouca beat Maritimo 2–1 at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 29 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Arouca 47%, the draw 23% and Maritimo 29%, so a home win had a 47% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Arouca 1.66, Maritimo 0.67, so Arouca created the better chances. Arouca had 17 shots (7 on target) to Maritimo's 12 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ARMA
1.66Expected goals0.67
17Shots12
7On target4
2Corners3
8Fouls9
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
Arouca
L @ Porto0–2 · 23 Aug
W v Moreirense4–0 · 16 Aug
W @ Vitória SC1–0 · 8 Aug
W v Tondela3–1 · 16 May
W @ Gil Vicente3–1 · 11 May
Maritimo
D v Academico Viseu2–2 · 22 Aug
W @ Famalicão2–1 · 16 Aug
W v Casa Pia1–0 · 8 Aug
L @ Estoril1–3 · 27 May
W v Vizela1–0 · 19 May
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Arouca won 1, Maritimo won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Apr 2023, finished Arouca 1–0 Maritimo, a win for Arouca.
Arouca 1–0 Maritimo8 Apr 2023
Maritimo 1–1 Arouca23 Oct 2022
Arouca 0–3 Maritimo14 Feb 2022
Maritimo 2–2 Arouca13 Sep 2021
Season averages per game
ARMA
1.33Goals1.00
0.78Conceded2.11
1.28xG0.81
1.28xG against1.46
11.1Shots10.0
3.8On target3.1
3.1Corners3.1
2.89Yellow cards1.89
56%Clean sheets11%
33%Both score67%
44%3+ goals78%