Santa Clara vs Nacional result and stats
Win probability: home 43%, draw 30%, away 27%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersSanta Clara and Nacional drew 2–2 in the Primeira Liga on Monday 10 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Santa Clara 43%, the draw 30% and Nacional 27%, so a draw had a 30% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Santa Clara 1.44, Nacional 1.24, so Santa Clara created the better chances. Santa Clara had 19 shots (7 on target) to Nacional's 10 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
SCNA
1.44Expected goals1.24
19Shots10
7On target4
4Corners4
15Fouls14
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals2
Recent form
Santa Clara
L @ Porto0–1 · 16 May
W v Nacional2–0 · 11 May
D @ Arouca2–2 · 2 May
W v Sp Braga2–1 · 26 Apr
D @ Casa Pia0–0 · 18 Apr
Nacional
W v Vitória SC2–0 · 16 May
L @ Santa Clara0–2 · 11 May
L v AVS1–2 · 2 May
W @ Tondela2–0 · 25 Apr
W v Alverca1–0 · 18 Apr
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2024, Santa Clara won 2, Nacional won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 May 2026, finished Santa Clara 2–0 Nacional, a win for Santa Clara.
Santa Clara 2–0 Nacional11 May 2026
Nacional 3–3 Santa Clara11 Jan 2026
Santa Clara 1–0 Nacional30 Mar 2025
Nacional 2–0 Santa Clara4 Nov 2024
Season averages per game
SCNA
1.44Goals1.11
0.67Conceded2.00
1.29xG1.09
0.80xG against1.83
13.2Shots10.6
3.8On target3.2
3.9Corners4.3
3.00Yellow cards1.22
56%Clean sheets22%
44%Both score44%
44%3+ goals56%