Vitória SC vs Nacional result and stats
Win probability: home 48%, draw 26%, away 26%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersVitória SC beat Nacional 1–0 at home in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 23 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Vitória SC 48%, the draw 26% and Nacional 26%, so a home win had a 48% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Vitória SC 3.14, Nacional 0.42, so Vitória SC created the better chances. Vitória SC had 23 shots (5 on target) to Nacional's 7 (0 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
VINA
3.14Expected goals0.42
23Shots7
5On target0
4Corners3
18Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Vitória SC
L @ Sporting CP2–3 · 14 Aug
L v Arouca0–1 · 8 Aug
L @ Nacional0–2 · 16 May
L v Casa Pia0–1 · 11 May
L @ Sporting CP1–5 · 4 May
Nacional
W v Estoril2–0 · 16 Aug
D @ Santa Clara2–2 · 10 Aug
W v Vitória SC2–0 · 16 May
L @ Santa Clara0–2 · 11 May
L v AVS1–2 · 2 May
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2024, Vitória SC won 2, Nacional won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC, a win for Nacional.
Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC16 May 2026
Vitória SC 2–1 Nacional2 Jan 2026
Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC3 May 2025
Vitória SC 2–2 Nacional23 Dec 2024
Season averages per game
VINA
1.11Goals1.11
1.11Conceded2.00
1.62xG1.09
0.97xG against1.83
17.6Shots10.6
4.6On target3.2
5.8Corners4.3
2.78Yellow cards1.22
33%Clean sheets22%
33%Both score44%
33%3+ goals56%