Primeira LigaMatchday 11Saturday 7 November 2026 · 15:30

Nacional vs Academico Viseu prediction

Nacional

31%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

12.1% chance

26%

draw

Academico Viseu

44%

away win

Win probability: home 31%, draw 26%, away 44%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Academico Viseu slight favourites to beat Nacional away from home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:30 UTC. It gives Nacional a 31% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Academico Viseu 44%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Nacional and 1.4 from Academico Viseu, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 48% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (12%). Nacional keep a clean sheet in 24% of outcomes, Academico Viseu in 32%.

Nacional are 15th in the table with 7 points from 9 games; Academico Viseu are 6th with 17. In their last five league games Nacional took 3 points (LLLLW) and Academico Viseu took 15 (WWWWW). This season Nacional average 1.09 expected goals (xG) for and 1.83 against per game; Academico Viseu average 1.19 for and 1.73 against.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Nacional goalsColumns: Academico Viseu goals

1–112.1%

0–111.2%

1–09.1%

1–28.9%

0–27.7%

0–07.2%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

93%

2 or more goals

73%

3 or more goals

48%

4 or more goals

26%

5 or more goals

12%

Both teams score

52%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.15 for Nacional and 1.43 for Academico Viseu.

Winning margin

Explained

Nacional by 3

Nacional by 2

Nacional by 1

19%

Draw

26%

Academico Viseu by 3

Academico Viseu by 2

13%

Academico Viseu by 1

23%

Each team's goals

Explained

Nacional expected goals1.15

Academico Viseu expected goals1.43

Nacional keep a clean sheet24%

Academico Viseu keep a clean sheet32%

Nacional win without conceding17%

Academico Viseu win without conceding24%

Nacional score 2 or more32%

Academico Viseu score 2 or more42%

Recent form

Nacional

W v Sp Braga1–0 · 25 Oct

L @ Rio Ave2–3 · 11 Oct

L v Famalicão0–4 · 19 Sep

L v Alverca1–3 · 12 Sep

L @ Sporting CP0–2 · 5 Sep

Academico Viseu

W @ Sporting CP2–1 · 25 Oct

W v Estoril2–1 · 10 Oct

W @ Estrela2–0 · 20 Sep

W v Vitória SC2–1 · 12 Sep

W @ Gil Vicente1–0 · 6 Sep

Head to head

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

NAAV

1.11

Goals

1.44

2.00

Conceded

1.22

1.09

1.19

1.83

xG against

1.73

10.6

Shots

9.9

3.2

On target

3.4

4.3

Corners

2.3

1.22

Yellow cards

3.00

22%

Clean sheets

22%

44%

Both score

56%

3+ goals

67%

Questions and answers

Who will win Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

GossipBall gives Nacional a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Academico Viseu 44%. GossipBall makes Academico Viseu slight favourites to beat Nacional away from home.

What is the most likely score in Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 12% chance. The next most likely are 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (9%), 1–2 (9%).

Will both teams score in Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Nacional and Academico Viseu score.

Will there be three or more goals in Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

There is a 48% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.2 for Nacional, 1.4 for Academico Viseu).

When is Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:30 UTC.