Primeira LigaMatchday 10Sunday 1 November 2026 · 18:00

Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave prediction

Academico Viseu

61%

home win

likeliest score

1–0

11.4% chance

21%

draw

Rio Ave

18%

away win

Win probability: home 61%, draw 21%, away 18%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Academico Viseu clear favourites to beat Rio Ave at home in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 18:00 UTC. It gives Academico Viseu a 61% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Rio Ave 18%.

GossipBall expects 1.9 goals from Academico Viseu and 0.9 from Rio Ave, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 54% chance of three or more goals and a 51% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–0 (11%). Academico Viseu keep a clean sheet in 40% of outcomes, Rio Ave in 15%.

Academico Viseu are 6th in the table with 17 points from 9 games; Rio Ave are 17th with 7. In their last five league games Academico Viseu took 15 points (WWWWW) and Rio Ave took 4 (LDLWL). This season Academico Viseu average 1.19 expected goals (xG) for and 1.73 against per game; Rio Ave average 0.68 for and 1.80 against.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Academico Viseu goalsColumns: Rio Ave goals

1–011.4%

2–010.7%

1–110.1%

2–19.9%

3–06.8%

3–16.3%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

94%

2 or more goals

77%

3 or more goals

54%

4 or more goals

32%

5 or more goals

16%

Both teams score

51%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.92 for Academico Viseu and 0.93 for Rio Ave.

Winning margin

Explained

Academico Viseu by 3

10%

Academico Viseu by 2

19%

Academico Viseu by 1

25%

Draw

21%

Rio Ave by 3

Rio Ave by 2

Rio Ave by 1

12%

Each team's goals

Explained

Academico Viseu expected goals1.92

Rio Ave expected goals0.93

Academico Viseu keep a clean sheet40%

Rio Ave keep a clean sheet15%

Academico Viseu win without conceding34%

Rio Ave win without conceding9%

Academico Viseu score 2 or more57%

Rio Ave score 2 or more24%

Recent form

Academico Viseu

W @ Sporting CP2–1 · 25 Oct

W v Estoril2–1 · 10 Oct

W @ Estrela2–0 · 20 Sep

W v Vitória SC2–1 · 12 Sep

W @ Gil Vicente1–0 · 6 Sep

Rio Ave

L v Famalicão0–4 · 25 Oct

W v Nacional3–2 · 11 Oct

L @ Alverca0–1 · 19 Sep

D v Estrela3–3 · 14 Sep

L @ Santa Clara0–4 · 6 Sep

Head to head

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

AVRA

1.44

Goals

0.89

1.22

Conceded

2.33

1.19

0.68

1.73

xG against

1.80

9.9

Shots

7.6

3.4

On target

3.0

2.3

Corners

3.8

3.00

Yellow cards

1.67

22%

Clean sheets

11%

56%

Both score

22%

67%

3+ goals

56%

Questions and answers

Who will win Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave?

GossipBall gives Academico Viseu a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rio Ave 18%. GossipBall makes Academico Viseu clear favourites to beat Rio Ave at home.

What is the most likely score in Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave?

The likeliest single score is 1–0, with a 11% chance. The next most likely are 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%).

Will both teams score in Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave?

GossipBall gives a 51% chance that both Academico Viseu and Rio Ave score.

Will there be three or more goals in Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave?

There is a 54% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.9 for Academico Viseu, 0.9 for Rio Ave).

When is Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave?

Kick-off is Sunday 1 November 2026 at 18:00 UTC.