Brighton vs Arsenal result and stats
Win probability: home 21%, draw 26%, away 53%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBrighton beat Arsenal 3–0 at home in the Premier League on Saturday 19 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Brighton 21%, the draw 26% and Arsenal 53%, so a home win had a 21% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Brighton 1.31, Arsenal 1.63, so Arsenal created the better chances. Brighton had 17 shots (5 on target) to Arsenal's 11 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BRAR
1.31Expected goals1.63
17Shots11
5On target2
5Corners6
13Fouls11
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Referee: D England
Recent form
Brighton
W @ Coventry5–0 · 13 Sep
D v Leeds1–1 · 5 Sep
L @ Chelsea3–4 · 30 Aug
W v Aston Villa4–0 · 23 Aug
L v Manchester United0–3 · 24 May
Arsenal
W @ Sunderland2–0 · 12 Sep
W v Chelsea2–1 · 6 Sep
W @ Aston Villa1–0 · 31 Aug
W v Coventry3–0 · 21 Aug
W @ Crystal Palace2–1 · 24 May
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Brighton won 2, Arsenal won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Mar 2026, finished Brighton 0–1 Arsenal, a win for Arsenal.
Brighton 0–1 Arsenal4 Mar 2026
Arsenal 2–1 Brighton27 Dec 2025
Brighton 1–1 Arsenal4 Jan 2025
Arsenal 1–1 Brighton31 Aug 2024
Brighton 0–3 Arsenal6 Apr 2024
Arsenal 2–0 Brighton17 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
BRAR
2.88Goals1.62
0.88Conceded0.62
2.03xG1.74
1.42xG against0.77
17.8Shots13.4
5.4On target4.4
5.2Corners5.6
2.12Yellow cards1.25
62%Clean sheets62%
25%Both score25%
62%3+ goals50%