Arsenal
Arsenal are 2nd in the Premier League with 21 points from 8 games (7 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats), having scored 13 and conceded 5.
They average 1.74 expected goals for and 0.77 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them the strongest team in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Arsenal to finish with about 82 points, with a 57% chance of winning the league, 100% of a top-four finish and 0% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: away at Liverpool on Sunday 1 November 2026, where GossipBall gives Arsenal a 45% chance of winning.
1 / 20GOSSIPBALL rating rank
1.74xG per game
0.77xG against per game
62%clean sheets
82.5expected final points
57%chance to win the league
Next matches
Liverpool
Arsenal
Win probability: home 27%, draw 28%, away 45%
Likeliest score 1–1
Arsenal vs Hull prediction (Premier League):
Arsenal
Hull
Clear favourite
Win probability: home 69%, draw 22%, away 10%
Likeliest score 2–0
Results this season
24 Oct
Arsenal2
Everton0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 66%, draw 23%, away 11%
2.0–0.6match xG
Nottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal result and stats:
18 Oct
Nottingham Forest0
Arsenal1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 18%, draw 27%, away 55%
0.9–1.1match xG
Arsenal 2–1 Leeds result and stats:
10 Oct
Arsenal2
Leeds1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 67%, draw 22%, away 11%
2.3–0.6match xG
Brighton 3–0 Arsenal result and stats:
19 Sep
Brighton3
Arsenal0
Upset
Win probability: home 21%, draw 26%, away 53%
1.3–1.6match xG
Sunderland 0–2 Arsenal result and stats:
12 Sep
Sunderland0
Arsenal2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 16%, draw 28%, away 56%
1.8–1.9match xG
Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea result and stats:
6 Sep
Arsenal2
Chelsea1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 64%, draw 23%, away 14%
2.0–0.4match xG
Aston Villa 0–1 Arsenal result and stats:
31 Aug
Aston Villa0
Arsenal1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 20%, draw 26%, away 53%
0.3–1.1match xG
Arsenal 3–0 Coventry result and stats:
21 Aug
Arsenal3
Coventry0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 71%, draw 20%, away 10%
1.9–0.2match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored1.62
Goals conceded0.62
Expected goals (xG)1.74
xG against0.77
Shots13.4
Shots on target4.4
Shots on target against3.0
Conversion (goals per shot on target)37%
Corners5.6
Fouls10.2
Yellow cards1.25
Red cards0.00
Clean sheets62%
Both teams scored25%
3 or more goals50%
Failed to score12%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)+0.35
Defence (positive = concedes less)+0.62
Overall+0.97